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What wins in modern golf—passion that burns bright but flickers, or consistency that grinds relentlessly? That question sits at the heart of Paul McGinley’s latest assessment of Rory McIlroy’s future. The former Ryder Cup captain recently appeared on the Sky Sports Golf Podcast to discuss McIlroy’s exceptional 2025 season. Yet his most revealing comments focused on the Northern Irishman’s toughest challenge ahead.

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Rory McIlroy completed the career Grand Slam at Augusta National in April. He captured his seventh Race to Dubai title in November. He helped Europe secure a historic away Ryder Cup victory at Bethpage Black. By any measure, 2025 stands as one of the greatest seasons in golf history. Still, McGinley sees a fundamental issue that could prevent McIlroy from ever reclaiming the World No. 1 ranking.

“I’ve talked a lot about Rory when he’s emotionally engaged in something, that’s when he’s at his best. And I think that’s the big challenge for him now as he goes into his late 30s.”

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That emotional connection fuels his brilliance. However, it also creates peaks and valleys that Scheffler doesn’t experience. The contrast between these two greats couldn’t be starker. McIlroy is charismatic, dynamic, and exciting to watch when he’s on. Then he flatlines and disappears from contention.

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The problem isn’t technical. McGinley made that crystal clear during his podcast appearance with Jamie Weir. He challenged anyone to find a weakness in McIlroy’s game right now. The 36-year-old has transformed from a player with questionable wedges and putting into what McGinley calls a complete player. His eighth-place finish in Strokes Gained: Putting this season marked his best putting year ever. He ranked in the top five in that category for the first time in his career.

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But completeness doesn’t guarantee the week-in, week-out excellence needed to reclaim the top spot. That’s where Scottie Scheffler enters the conversation. McGinley revealed the core challenge facing McIlroy as he enters his late 30s. The Irishman performs at his absolute best when emotionally engaged in something. Scheffler, meanwhile, delivers a monotonous excellence week after week.

Scheffler won six tournaments in 2025, including two majors. He never seems to have a drop-off. McGinley pointed out that World Rankings reward steady performance over brilliant flashes. The system operates on a two-year rolling period. Points maintain their full value for 13 weeks before gradually reducing. Rankings are calculated by dividing total points by the number of tournaments played.

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This structure aligns perfectly with Scheffler’s approach. He peels off five or six wins every single year on the PGA Tour. The sheer volume of strong finishes and all those available points keep him comfortably at No. 1. McIlroy acknowledged this reality himself. He admitted the week-in, week-out grind has become a struggle at times. At 36, he’s planning to scale back his schedule even further. He’ll target 18-20 tournaments per year, down from 27 in 2024.

The motivation challenge adds another layer of complexity. After completing his Grand Slam, finding the drive to grind on the range for three or four hours became tougher. He’s achieved everything in golf now. Maintaining that fire requires specific targets.

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Why world rankings favor Scottie Scheffler’s steady approach over Rory McIlroy’s brilliance

McGinley delivered his frankest assessment when discussing McIlroy’s chances of returning to World No. 1. His answer was blunt and honest.

“In terms of Rory becoming the number one player in the game again, I don’t know if that’s going to happen. Scottie Scheffler is so bloody consistent and he does seem to be able to peel off five or six wins every single year.”

The reason has nothing to do with talent. McGinley emphasized that rankings don’t necessarily reflect who people consider the best player in the game. They measure two-year performance week in and week out without ever having a drop. Scheffler excels at that formula. He has maintained the top spot since May 21, 2023. That’s a streak exceeding 150 weeks now.

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“Remember the World Rankings are not necessarily who people consider to be the best player in the game. They are based on a two-year performance week in week out, never having a drop. And Scottie Scheffler, that’s what he’s brilliant at.”

Meanwhile, McIlroy sits at World No. 2 despite his remarkable 2025 campaign. His in-and-out nature makes him appealing because when he’s on, he’s fantastic to watch.

“Rory is a little bit in and out. And that makes him so appealing because when he’s on, he’s fantastic to watch. But there are times then when he flat lines and goes out of the picture.”

Yet those flat periods between peaks prevent the accumulation of points that the system rewards. Still, McGinley sees plenty of motivation ahead for McIlroy. The Order of Merit battle offers one clear goal. McIlroy now sits just one title behind Colin Montgomerie’s record of eight.

“I think the Order of Merit is definitely alive and burning in him. He wants to take Monty and he wants to be the guy who’s won the most Order of Merit titles.”

Surpassing Nick Faldo‘s six major championships as Europe’s most decorated major champion provides another target. These historical pursuits can keep that competitive fire burning. McIlroy’s transformation into a complete player positions him perfectly for these battles ahead. The question isn’t whether he can win more majors. The question is whether his emotional, heart-driven approach can match Scheffler’s methodical excellence in the rankings game.

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