Has Luka Garza Been Passed in the Race For National Player of the Year?

Published 02/18/2021, 2:30 PM EST
Feb 2, 2021; Iowa City, Iowa, USA; Iowa Hawkeyes center Luka Garza (55) reacts as Michigan State Spartans forward Julius Marble II (34) looks on during the first half at Carver-Hawkeye Arena. Mandatory Credit: Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports


When the 2020-21 season began, Iowa Hawkeyes’ Luka Garza was the favorite to win National Player of the Year. He had an excellent start to the season, and was dominating teams with both his paint scoring and his rebounding.

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But now, as the season is coming to an end, the Hawkeyes‘ form has dipped. At one stage, he was almost averaging 30 points and 10 rebounds, and now he is currently averaging 24.5 points and 8.4 rebounds with shooting splits of 59-43-70. These numbers are still impressive, but has Garza has fallen victim to his own high standards?

Luka Garza facing challenge from his own conference

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While Garza is still a favorite, Iowa’s rivals, the Illinois Fighting Illini, have their own candidate challenging for the NPOY. Junior guard Ayo Dosunmu is also taking the Big Ten by storm, averaging 21.3 points, 6 rebounds, and 5.1 assists per game. He is also shooting an impressive 49% from the field and 43% from three.

Jan 7, 2021; Evanston, Illinois, USA; Illinois Fighting Illini guard Ayo Dosunmu (11) reacts after his three point basket in the second half against the Northwestern Wildcats at Welsh-Ryan Arena. Mandatory Credit: Quinn Harris-USA TODAY Sports

He has led the Fighting Illini to the top five of the AP Poll, the first time they have accomplished that since their 2004-05 Finals run. They are also ranked #2 in the Big Ten, ahead of Garza’s Iowa, who are #4.

It is unlikely that Dosunmu ranks ahead of Garza, but if he helps Illinois to continue this form, he could have a slender chance.

Unbeaten teams and their stars

In the NBA, many players have won the MVP via the best player on the best team argument. If the NCAA were to follow that, then it would be criminal to not consider Drew Timme from the Gonzaga Bulldogs and Jared Butler from the Baylor Bears.

The Bulldogs are one of the most talented teams in the country. They have multiple players who could challenge for the award. But recently, Timme has emerged as their clear best player. He leads them in points (19.4), rebounds (7.4), FG% (64%), and is second in 3P% (42%). Along with Jalen Suggs, he is their main cog on offense.

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Jan 23, 2021; Spokane, Washington, USA; Gonzaga Bulldogs forward Drew Timme (2) is fouled by Pacific Tigers forward Jordan Bell (1) in the first half at McCarthey Athletic Center. Mandatory Credit: James Snook-USA TODAY Sports

Butler is one of the main reasons behind the Bears’ unbeaten record. He has transformed into a combo guard, who can also excel at playmaking now. Along with his 17 points per game, Butler averages 5.2 assists per game. He has also improved his three-point shooting and is averaging 44% from three this season.

Jan 18, 2021; Waco, Texas, USA; Baylor Bears guard Jared Butler (12) reacts to a made basket in the closing moments of the game against the Kansas Jayhawks during the second half at Ferrell Center. Mandatory Credit: Raymond Carlin III-USA TODAY Sports

Both Timme and Butler have been excellent and are likely to be the closest competitors for Garza. There’s less than two months left for the results, and despite all this competition, Garza is primed to emerge as the winner.

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Aaron Mathew

1645 articles

Aaron Mathew is a sports analyst at EssentiallySports. A graduate in Mass Media from Xavier’s College, Aaron has been a part of EssentiallySports since May 2020 where he covers both NBA and NCAA basketball news, and has also covered NBA 2K. In the past, Aaron has worked at the Sports Desk of Mumbai Mirror.

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