The Buffalo Bills have lost their last two games after starting the season 4-0. This raises new questions about the offense. Buffalo was unable to convert crucial downs and complete drives. There were costly turnovers and missed red-zone opportunities in the Week 5 home loss to the New England Patriots, followed by a 14-24 defeat to the Atlanta Falcons.

“It was too hard tonight on our quarterback. It doesn’t need to be that hard all the time where he’s having to run out of the pocket.” McDermott said. 

A subsequent defeat in Atlanta amplified the situation and revealed concerns with in-game adjustments. At 28.84% in six games, the Bills have the highest blitz rate since 2022. The main problem is low conversion rates and turnover. After giving up just one turnover in their first four games, the Bills committed three against the Patriots. The Bills have had a total of 6 turnovers in the last three games. This season their QB has already taken 12 sacks, which doesn’t say good about the offensive line.

The Bills struggled with ball security in key moments. Against Atlanta, they fumbled an exchange on a jet sweep and failed to recover the football, while Keon Coleman’s fumble inside the 10-yard line handed the Patriots a critical short field early in their road victory. Another miscue came on a third-and-1 jet sweep to Elijah Moore against the Falcons; although Moore recovered the fumble, he was stopped behind the line for a loss, turning a potential conversion into a setback.

No team in league history has gone 12 games without committing more than four offensive turnovers. However, with just one turnover in 12 games, the Bills could hold the record for it last season. Comparatively, there were fewer turnovers and more consistent passing metrics throughout last season. Higher conversion rates and fewer game-ending errors were the results of the improved performance. 

Now, there are drops in the passing attack on third downs and inside the 20. Buffalo continues to score 27.8 points per game on average, but late turnovers and stalled drives have influenced the outcome.

Over the past five seasons, the Bills’ defense has seen a clear shift in performance. In 2021, they ranked seventh in turnover rate while allowing the fewest points per drive when opponents didn’t turn the ball over. Their turnover efficiency remained strong through 2023, ranking first in both 2023 and 2024, though points allowed per non-turnover drive spiked to 25th in 2024. This season, 2025, the defense has struggled, dropping to 24th in turnover rate and 18th in points allowed per drive without a turnover.

Through six games in 2025, the Bills have just five takeaways and haven’t recorded a multi-turnover game, a stark contrast to 2024 when they forced 10, nine of which led to victories.

Josh Allen’s yards per attempt and completion rate decreased throughout the losing streak. After six games, Allen has four interceptions and eleven passing touchdowns. Allen’s QBR has dropped to 62.6, and his passer rating is now 68.5 in the last two games.

Josh Allen’s fiery start dims as the Bills face offensive regression

Josh Allen was among the league’s best players at the start of the season. Up until week four, his ability to prolong plays and generate out-of-structure passes kept defenses on edge. 

“I mean, it’s gonna eat at me in the next two weeks,” Josh Allen told The Athletic.

That rhythm has fallen apart over the last two games. Allen’s completion rate declined by over seven points, and his passer rating fell below 87. Allen has 11 passing touchdowns and four interceptions after six games. Allen’s QBR has fallen to 62.6, and his passer rating is now 68.5 in the last two games as a result of both execution mistakes and schematic flaws.

Josh Allen has been pressured into eight sacks, translating to a 9.2% sack rate, almost three times higher than his rate over the previous three months.

While Allen had a passer rating above 100 and few turnovers, Buffalo’s offense averaged more than 30 points per game. His flexibility and originality gave the Bills an early advantage and a flawless start. But he managed just 253 yards against the Patriots with a 49.6 QBR, one interception, and one sack. And recorded 180 yards against the Falcons and was sacked four times, while his QBR for the game fell to 17.6.

With Allen committing numerous turnovers and missing crucial third-down throws, the Bills’ offense found it difficult to sustain drives. His lack of pocket awareness resulted in rushed passes and needless hits.

Allen demonstrated consistent command with fewer sacks and turnovers during the previous season. His effectiveness and the team’s momentum have now suffered due to misreads and protection failures. If anyone can come out of this slump, it’s the Bills and Josh Allen himself.