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The. high-stakes tension of a final drive in the AFC Championship game. Now imagine that pressure stretched across an entire offseason, centered not on a Hail Mary, but on a calculator. That’s the reality facing the Ravens as the specter of Lamar Jackson’s $74.5 million cap hit in 2026 casts a long shadow over Owings Mills.
It’s a financial hurdle so massive, it threatens to reshape the franchise’s future, echoing the kind of high-wire cap management that keeps GMs up at night. As Samuel Njoku aptly noted on the Locked On Ravens podcast, the offseason’s end is rushing towards us like a blitzing linebacker:
“Offseason is almost over. You know, the Ravens don’t have much time left to make big moves prior to the start of training camp and maybe don’t need to make any big moves. How many times have you got on your show, ‘Locked On Ravens’, and talked about the grind of the offseason?” The ‘grind’ Njoku references has one dominant, urgent rhythm: extending Jackson.
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His current $43.5 million cap hit for 2025 is manageable, but that number rockets to $74.5 million in 2026 – a figure that would cripple Baltimore’s ability to build a competitive roster around their superstar. Analyst Kevin Oestreicher hammered home the brutal math and the critical need for action now:
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“Yeah, there are a lot. I want to start with some extensions. And I think to me, extensions are going to be the name of the game for the Ravens here, especially when it comes down to Lamar Jackson. Lamar Jackson is the big extension here to me. Next year, as you guys know, that cap hit skyrockets up to over $70 million.” He further added, “If you want to build out a team, a competitive team, you cannot have a cap hit for one player, regardless of how good the guy is. Lamar Jackson is the best player in the league right now in my opinion.”
Oestreicher’s point stings with truth. Lamar Jackson is transcendent – a two-time MVP (2019, 2023) who just posted a ludicrous 2024 season: 4,172 pass yds, 41 pass TDs, only 4 INTs, a league-leading 119.6 passer rating, PLUS 915 rush yds and 4 more TDs.
He’s the NFL’s all-time leading rusher at QB (6,173 yds) and the only QB ever with a 4,000+ pass/800+ rush season. But even legends need support. That $74.5 M hit is a roster-building neutron star, sucking the financial life out of surrounding Jackson with the talent needed to finally capture that elusive Lombardi. And that means it’s time to renegotiate and figure out a deal that works for everyone.
Remember Oestreicher’s urgency: “I hope Baltimore gives it to him before we kick off training camp here.” Why the rush? As he noted, Jackson’s landmark $260 M deal from 2023 currently places him as the 10th highest-paid QB. Waiting risks another market reset (hello, Dak Prescott’s $60 M/year), forcing Baltimore to pay even more.
What’s your perspective on:
Is Lamar Jackson's $74.5M cap hit a ticking time bomb for the Ravens' championship hopes?
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Lamar’s calculated silence & the collision course
So, where’s Jackson in all this? Poised, smiling, and decidedly tight-lipped. When pressed about negotiations at minicamp, the response was pure Jackson: quiet confidence wrapped in evasion. “You know I never discuss contract situations here. I don’t want to talk about it. Is that OK with you?”
GM Eric DeCosta confirmed talks are happening (introductory stage), but Lamar’s calm public stance masks the high-stakes poker game unfolding. This echoes the 2022 standoff where Jackson famously rejected a $250 M offer, demanding full guarantees like Deshaun Watson. While he didn’t get that structure, he landed $185 M guaranteed. Now, the Ravens face the sequel. Failing to extend Jackson before that $74.5 M bomb detonates isn’t an option.
As former Raven Qadry Ismail framed it, it’s about roster sustainability: “You know, it’s interesting when it comes to the Lamar signing… There’s no way you’re going to allow your team to be held hostage by the salary cap. Getting a deal done is really of the utmost importance because you win games, and that means you got players that are going to want to be paid good money. The Kyle Hamiltons of the world, they want that good money.”
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Oestreicher expanded, highlighting the domino effect: “When you look at it, there is Isaiah Likely sitting there like, ‘Hey, I think I can get some of that good money as well.’ I think move number two would be Isaiah Likely before training camp because I think personally he’s going to have an awesome year and drive that price up.”
Head Coach John Harbaugh understands the gravity. He’s already declared Jackson will reclaim the highest-paid throne with this next deal, stating plainly at the owners’ meetings: “I think every contract he signs till he decides to hang up his cleats, he’s going to be that guy.” When relayed to Lamar? A simple, telling smile and ‘Sounds good.’
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This isn’t just about money; it’s about legacy. Jackson has revolutionized the Ravens’ identity – transforming them from defensive stalwarts into an offensive juggernaut built around his unprecedented dual-threat genius. His gravitational pull (the ‘Lamar Effect’) lured talents like Derrick Henry and DeAndre Hopkins to Baltimore.
He’s delivered MVPs and division titles. The only box left unchecked is the Super Bowl. Letting cap mechanics derail that quest would be a franchise-altering failure. As the rookies report on July 15 and veterans follow on July 22, the pressure mounts. Extending Lamar Jackson isn’t just another contract negotiation; it’s the Ravens’ most critical offensive play call of the decade. They need to execute before the $74.5 M play clock hits zero, or risk watching their championship window slam shut, a victim of financial gridlock in a game decided by inches and dollars. The Lombardi Trophy demands it. Baltimore deserves it. The clock, relentlessly, ticks.
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"Is Lamar Jackson's $74.5M cap hit a ticking time bomb for the Ravens' championship hopes?"