UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Rodriguez Prelims- Thiago Moises vs Joel Alvarez: Prediction and Analysis

Published 11/12/2021, 6:55 AM EST


UFC will return to Las Vegas with UFC Vegas 42 this weekend. After events in Abu Dhabi and New York, the promotion will return to the UFC APEX. While a massive featherweight fight between Max Holloway and Yair Rodriguez will headline the event, the preliminary card also reflects interesting bouts. One of them is the lightweight bout between Thiago Moises and Joel Alvarez.

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LAS VEGAS, NEVADA – OCTOBER 31: (L-R) Thiago Moises of Brazil punches Bobby Green in a lightweight bout during the UFC Fight Night event at UFC APEX on October 31, 2020 in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC)

Thiago Moises has fought many good names from the division. He has faced Islam Makhachev, Bobby Green, and Beneil Dariush. In his last fight, he suffered a loss against Islam Makhachev, which broke his three-fight streak. Hence, he will look to bounce back with a win over Alvarez.

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Alvarez, on the other hand, has only fought four bouts in the promotion. However, after facing a setback in his debut, the Spanish fighter is currently on a three-fight winning run. ‘El Fenomeno’ will look to continue his winning streak in order to cement his position in the division.

While a win for the #15 Moises will see him rise, defeat will eject him from the rankings. Hence, it is a high-risk bout for him. Meanwhile, Alvarez can enter the world’s top 15 with a good showing at the Apex.

Thiago Moises vs Joel Alvarez: Prediction and Analysis

Thiago Moises has a professional fighting career of 15-5 under his name. He has three knockout wins and six submission wins on his MMA resume.

Meanwhile, Alvarez (18- 2), with two knockouts and an amazing sixteen submission wins under his name, has earned finishes in all of his 18 wins. He is on a two-fight streak of opening-round finishes.

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Coming into the fight, the Spanish fighter has a five-inch height and seven-inch reach advantage over Moises.

He will look to use this to his benefit and hand Moises his second submission win in a row. Given Alvarez’s submission numbers, Moises’ 60% UFC takedown defense will face a stern test. However, fans should expect him to use his experience and frustrate the Spaniard who will face his first big test in the octagon.

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As the Brazilian is adept at going the distance, he should look to take Alvarez out of his element. We feel he will do so and maintain his ranking.

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Afnan Chougle

340 articles

Afnan Chougle is a UFC author at EssentiallySports. Besides writing, this Media graduate is an integral part of the digital web stories team for combat sports. Before joining EssentiallySports, Afnan gained valuable experience as an intern at Jiostudios Production House.

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