The European clay court season has begun and it is now time to expect intense action between top-ranked ATP stars. Beginning with the round of 64 competitions, Italian tennis star Matteo Berrettini is set to be in a showdown against Miomir Kecmanovic. Berrettini has burst back into the top 100 with his latest victory in Marrakech, his first title since June 2022. Kecmanovic, on the other hand, has not been having the best time this season, on a 4-game losing streak. Is the prediction getting clearer?

Finding their way into the competition ahead, both the players will be facing each other for the first time on a clay court. But who among these has better odds of winning? Let’s figure out by comparing the recent statistics.

Matteo Berrettini vs Miomir Kecmanovic: Preview

In the last year, Matteo Berrettini played 14 matches on different courts, averaging 25 games per match (20.3 in best-of-three matches) and winning about 51% of them overall. On clay, he played three matches, averaging 17.7 games per match (17.7 in best-of-three matches) and winning around 57% of the games. His service game-winning rate across all surfaces was high at about 87%, while his return rate was lower at around 16%. On clay courts specifically, he won nearly 89% of his service games but only about 26% of his return games.

On the other side of the court, Miomir Kecmanovic played 55 matches on all types of courts over the last year, averaging 25.8 games per match (23.6 in best-of-three matches). On clay, he played 17 matches, averaging 24.7 games per match (22.6 in best-of-three matches). He won about 75% of his service games and 24% of his return games overall. On clay, he won around 73% of his service games and 26% of his return games.

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Berrettini vs Kecmanovic: Head-to-head

Looking at the head-to-head stats between the two, Kecmanovic and Berrettini have played against each other once before, in which Kecmanovic secured a lead. They played three sets in total, with Kecmanovic winning two sets and Berrettini winning one. Their last match was at the BNP Paribas Open – Indian Wells on March 16, 2022. While their recent match was played on a hard court, the upcoming clay court competition can drop a surprise.

Prediction: Berrettini to win in straight sets

Driving a conclusion from the recent statistics, Berrettini seems to have an edge over Kecmanovic. Berrettini has been better at saving breakpoints under pressure, with a higher percentage compared to Kecmanovic. Along with that, Berrettini has a higher overall win percentage in matches played over the past year.

When looking at their preferred surfaces, Berrettini’s best surface is grass, where he has a significantly higher win percentage compared to Kecmanovic’s best surface, clay. Considering these factors, Berrettini is predicted to have a strong chance of winning the upcoming match, possibly in straight sets.

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