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Has Carlos Alcaraz’s Early Paris Masters Exit Handed Novak Djokovic the Year End no.1 Crown for the 8th Time?

Published 11/01/2023, 6:30 AM EDT

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Gone are those days when there used to be a nail-biting encounter between the ‘Big 3’ for the top spot in the ATP rankings. But who knew that despite their absence, the young guns would stand up to their expectations so well? Carlos Alcaraz, an upcoming gem in the tennis world has made sure to lead the charts and fill in the void created by Rafael Nadal and Roger Federer. Currently holding the second spot in the ATP rankings, the young Spaniard looks all set to go for the top spot.

However, a first-round elimination at the Paris Masters has given top-spot holder Novak Djokovic a huge sign of relief. But with the ATP Finals looming over, one question stands: Can Carlos Alcaraz finish the year as the number 1 player? If that is the case, what are the odds for it? Let’s find out!

What is the current scenario in the ATP rankings?

Ever since his Cincinnati Masters loss at the hands of Novak Djokovic, Alcaraz seems to have struggled to maintain his top form. Currently, at the Paris Masters, he suffered a disappointing first-round exit at the hands of Roman Safiullin with a scoreline of 6-3, 6-4. This has undoubtedly cast a shadow over his chances of ending the year as the world number one in men’s tennis. Currently, with Djokovic leading by a mere 500 points in the ATP ranking race, Alcaraz’s dreams of clinching the top spot have been severely dented.

In the current ATP rankings, Djokovic leads the charts with around 8955 points to his name. On the other hand, Carlos Alcaraz sits in the second spot with 8455. However, at the moment, the odds seem stacked against the young Spanish sensation. Djokovic, with the opportunity to earn an additional 990 points in Paris, appears to be in a prime position to secure his eighth year-end number-one crown.

With a recent dip in his form, Carlos Alcaraz has found himself in an awkward situation where he struggles to secure his high-level performances. Not only this, but this has also cast doubts on whether he could really challenge the Serbian and take the spot. However, is there still a glimmer of hope for the Spanish prodigy to finish the year as the number-one player in the world?

Also read: ‘Never Came Out Of My Mouth’ – Serena Williams’ Ex-coach Clears The Air On Controversial Novak Djokovic Verdict As Profound Roger Federer Bias Backfires

Can Carlos Alcaraz defeat Novak Djokovic and end the year as world number 1?

As the ATP season draws to a close and the prestigious ATP Finals starts soon, Novak Djokovic could potentially extend his lead over Alcaraz. Currently, Djokovic enjoys a comfortable lead of 500 points, and he could extend this advantage with a strong showdown in Paris. This could potentially earn him an additional 990 points. With this opportunity, Djokovic might find himself with a maximum lead of 1,500 points heading into the ATP Finals.

The question then arises: Is there a chance for Carlos Alcaraz to finish the year as the number one player, given Djokovic’s substantial lead? The answer depends on several factors and a fair degree of speculation. Alcaraz’s performance in Paris and Djokovic’s performance in the ATP Finals will be crucial in deciding the year-end ranking.

Carlos Alcaraz, despite his early exit in Paris, still holds the caliber to display the best performances in tennis. If he can bounce back from his Paris Masters setback and put together a strong showing at the ATP Finals, he may still have a chance to mount a late-season surge to challenge the top spot held by Djokovic.

However, Carlos Alcaraz’s task is far from straightforward. He will not only have to perform exceptionally well but also hope that Djokovic faces an early exit at the ATP Finals where he loses all his matches in the group stage. Every win at the group stage match would additionally award the player 200 points. Given Djokovic’s track record, such an outcome is far from guaranteed. Djokovic has rarely faltered in the latter stages of major tournaments.

However, if by any chance, both the players lie on the same points at the year’s end, then the total points collected in the Masters and the Grand Slams will be counted and whichever player will have the maximum points will be crowned the champion. Well, if that happens to be the case, Novak Djokovic will end the year as the world number 1 player for the 8th time.

But, it is tennis, and anything can happen here. While the odds may be stacked against Carlos Alcaraz, he has already demonstrated his ability and shown everyone what he can do. His journey is far from over, and even if he doesn’t secure the year-end number one spot, his future in the sport looks incredibly promising.

On the other hand, Novak Djokovic, the reigning king of men’s tennis, will do everything in his power to maintain his top spot. Securing the year-end number-one ranking for the eighth time would be a remarkable achievement. For this, he will only have to win the Paris Masters which will further add up to the total points that he has.

Thus, Carlos Alcaraz’s early exit at the Paris Masters has certainly made Novak Djokovic’s path to the year-end number-one ranking much smoother. The odds are against Alcaraz, but anything can happen. Tennis fans eagerly await the conclusion of the ATP season. The battle for the year-end number one crown promises to be a thrilling spectacle, filled with drama, and surprises.

What are your views on this? Who do you think will finish the year as the world champion? Do let us know in the comments below!

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Written by:

Akshat Gaur

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Akshat Gaur is a Tennis Writer at EssentiallySports. He completed his Bachelor’s degree in 2021 and has been writing since then. With over two years of experience in the world of sports journalism, specifically tennis journalism, Akshat is someone who is immensely passionate about covering the ATP and the WTA Tour.
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