The Open Championship 2021 Cut Line: How Many Players Will Qualify for the Weekend?

Published 07/16/2021, 7:03 AM EDT
May 21, 2021; Kiawah Island, South Carolina, USA; Jon Rahm reacts after his putt on the fifteenth hole green during the second round of the PGA Championship golf tournament. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports


The Open Championship 2021 is taking center stage in the golfing world. The final major championship has some world-class players in the field, and we are about to reach the weekend at the Royal St. George’s. But how many players will qualify, and what will be the cut line at the end of 36-holes?

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The Open Championship 2021 got off to a splendid start on Thursday. The 32,000 thousand fans witnessed some brilliant golf from Louis Oosthuizen, Jordan Spieth, and a few others. 

Louis Oosthuizen leads the tournament with a score of -6 after round one, while Jordan Spieth, Brian Harman are tied for the second position with a score of -5. 

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Cutline probabilities at the 2021 Open Championship

May 7, 2021; Charlotte, North Carolina, USA; Phil Mickelson after his bogey on 15 during the second round of the Wells Fargo Championship golf tournament. Mandatory Credit: Jim Dedmon-USA TODAY Sports

A total of 156 golfers are part of the field this week at the 2021 Open Championship. And unfortunately, all of them cannot go into the weekend, as the organizers will impose a 36-hole cut to filter out the players. 

The top 70 players, including ties, will qualify for the final two rounds at the 2021 Open Championship. And the cut will be confirmed at the end of the second round. But the last major championship of the year has already drawn a projected cut line. 

And according to data golf, the current line is +1. The current cut probability is based on the round 1 performance of the players, but it can change pretty quickly. 

The Royal St. George’s has been a slightly easier course than anticipated so far. But conditions can change on this course within the blink of an eye. So according to data golf, there’s a high 60.6% chance of cut remaining at +1. However, there’s a 27.3% chance of the cut line going up to even par. 

There are currently 86 players who meet the expectations of the current cut, but it depends on how players go about their second round at the Royal St. George’s. 

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Prominent players at risk of not making it to the weekend

Currently, Phil Mickelson and Jon Rahm are at risk of exiting the event, especially Mickelson. Phil finished his first round with a score of +10! And only a miracle can save him from missing the weekend. On the other hand, Jon Rahm will need a good second round to make it to the weekend as he was +1 at the end of the opening round. 

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Amey Kulkarni

142 articles

Amey Kulkarni is a Golf writer at EssentiallySports. He is currently pursuing his Bachelor’s degree in mass media. Before joining EssentiallySports he used to write articles on Golf and Cricket on his personal blog cricgolf.

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