Predicting golf winners is basically like trusting your weather app when it promises sunshine for your beach day. You know, the same app that confidently declares “0% chance of rain” right before you get absolutely soaked. What we’re trying to say is that betting favorites arrive with confidence, and end up missing the cut while some unknown player from nowhere steals the trophy. From 2018 to 2024, only two pre-tournament favorites actually won the darn thing at the US Women’s Open. Speaking of unpredictable outcomes, this year’s championship returns to Erin Hills from May 29 to June 1. The Wisconsin venue brings a $12 million purse and plenty of intrigue. Five players have emerged as clear betting favorites. However, if history teaches us anything, these odds might be as reliable as your local meteorologist’s five-day forecast.

1. Jeeno Thitikul – U.S. Women’s Open Betting Favorite (+900)

Jeeno Thitikul leads the betting markets at +900 odds. The 22-year-old Thai star carries an implied win probability of 10%. She currently sits at World No. 2 and dominates the statistical categories that matter most.

Despite her lack of major victories, Thitikul’s course fit at Erin Hills looks promising. The venue demands precision over power – exactly her strength. Her T6 finish at last year’s championship proves she belongs on major Sunday leaderboards. More importantly, she finished just six shots behind winner Yuka Saso, suggesting she’s figured out the U.S. Women’s Open puzzle.

2. Nelly Korda – World No. 1 Chasing U.S. Women’s Open Glory (+1400)

World No. 1 Nelly Korda follows closely at +1400 odds. She hasn’t won yet in 2025, but her track record speaks volumes. Seven LPGA Tour victories in 2024 established her dominance. Two major championships, overall, prove she thrives under pressure. The links-style layout at Erin Hills, playing at 6,835 yards, will make it one of the longest ever used for the tournament.

Here’s the thing about Korda, though – major championships haven’t been her friend lately. She’s struggled when the pressure reaches its peak, particularly on courses that neutralize her biggest weapon. While Korda will be able to conquer the length, the unpredictable winds, hilly terrain, and firm greens will require her to be precise to stay in contention. Still, you can never count out the world’s best player when millions are on the line.

3. Hae Ran Ryu – Recent Winner Eyes 2025 U.S. Women’s Open (+1400)

Hae Ran Ryu shares the second-favorite position at +1400 odds. Her recent wire-to-wire victory at the Black Desert Championship commands attention. She finished at an impressive 26-under par to claim that title. This performance showcased her ability to maintain leads under pressure.

What makes Ryu dangerous is her fearless approach to big moments. That Black Desert victory wasn’t just a win but a statement. She led from start to finish while others crumbled under pressure. Her ball-striking numbers suggest she won’t be intimidated by Erin Hills’ demands. When you can hit it that pure, confidence follows naturally.

4. Ruoning Yin – Major Champion Seeks Second Title (+1800)

Chinese professional Ruoning Yin enters at +1800 odds. She claimed the 2023 KPMG Women’s PGA Championship for her first major victory. This breakthrough proves she can handle the pressure of a major championship Sunday. Her steady improvement throughout 2024 and 2025 continues this upward trajectory.

Yin’s patient course management style perfectly suits major championship golf. She rarely makes big numbers that derail competitive rounds. Her consistent presence near leaderboards demonstrates remarkable reliability. Her recent playoff appearance at the Chevron Championship shows her current form. Bookmakers recognize her as a legitimate threat despite longer odds than the top three favorites.

5. Jin Young Ko – Former World No. 1 Ready for U.S. Women’s Open Challenge (+2000)

Former World No. 1 Jin Young Ko rounds out the top five at +2000 odds. Two major championship victories establish her championship pedigree. Her methodical approach to tournament golf has produced consistent success throughout her career. Mental toughness remains her greatest asset in pressure situations.

Ko’s understanding of major championship dynamics gives her significant advantages. She knows how to manage expectations and execute game plans over four demanding rounds. Her experience in handling media attention and elevated stakes proves invaluable. Recent form may not sparkle like some competitors, but champions find ways to peak at crucial moments. Her track record suggests she remains capable of mounting serious title challenges despite not being among the absolute favorites.

The 2025 U.S. Women’s Open promises another chapter in golf’s most unpredictable major. These five favorites represent the safest betting options based on current form and statistical analysis. However, history warns against overconfidence in any predictions.

Remember Allisen Corpuz’s stunning victory at +10000 odds in 2023? Or Yuka Saso’s triumph at +5000 in 2021? The U.S. Women’s Open specializes in creating Cinderella stories while humbling supposed sure things. Who do you think will break through at Erin Hills this year?