UFC 265 Late Prelims- Ed Herman vs Alonzo Menifield: Prediction and Analysis

Published 08/06/2021, 3:54 PM EDT


UFC 265 will feature a live crowd attendance with an exciting interim heavyweight title on the line as Derrick Lewis takes on an undefeated Ciryl Gane. While that match will keep everyone interested, there is another matchup in the prelims that should draw everyone’s attention. Light heavyweights Ed Herman and Alonzo Menifield will collide to progress in the division.

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‘Short Fuse’ Herman is currently riding a 3 fight winning streak and will enter the bout confidently. He last fought against Mike Rodriguez at UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs Hill and won via Kimura submission.

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His career record presently stands at 26 wins and 14 losses. He has picked 7 wins via KO/TKO, an astonishing 14 via submissions, and 5 via decisions.

Menifield, meanwhile, will enter the octagon after picking up a win last time over Fabio Cherant at UFC 260: Miocic vs Ngannou 2. Prior to that, he was on a 2 fight skid. His present career figure stands at 10 wins and 2 losses, with 8 coming via KO/TKO, and 2 via submissions.

Ed Herman vs Alonzo Menifield- analysis

If we look at their physical stats, Herman stands at 6’1″ tall and has a reach of 77″. Menifield meanwhile stands at 6’0″ and has a reach of 76″.

If we look at their career stats, Herman lands 3.32 significant strikes per minute with 49% accuracy. He absorbs 3.35 significate strikes per minute with a defense rate of 43%. Herman averages 2.21 takedowns per 15 mins with an accuracy of 48%. He also has a 60% takedown defense.

Meanwhile, Menifield lands with 3.31 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy of 48%. He absorbs 3.6 strikes per minute with a rate of 46%. He averages 0.39 takedowns with an accuracy of 14% and has a takedown defense of 80%.

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It’s safe to say that Menifield hasn’t yet used his athleticism even after such a long time. Although Herman has the toughness and skill, he doesn’t have the reach to trouble Menifield’s striking prowess, a thing that Ovince Saint Preux used to his advantage.

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Besides that, Herman also lacks the speed to trouble Menifield on the feet and can’t fully commit to his takedown skills on judgment day. If Menifield can help him by giving away the clinch, he might have a say in the match. But it looks like a victory is heading towards Menifield’s camp.

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Prediction: Menifield wins via second-round TKO

DIVE DEEPER

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Akshyay Srichandan Mahapatra

552 articles

Akshyay Mahapatra is a UFC author for EssentiallySports. He wished to combine his passion for the UFC (that he has been following since 2008) as well as his love for writing. This motivated him to enter the world of combat sports journalism.

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