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UFC Fight Night: Hall vs Strickland- Bryan Barberena vs Jason Witt: Prediction and Analysis

Published 07/29/2021, 12:30 PM EDT

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UFC Fight Night: Hall vs Strickland will feature an exciting welterweight clash in its main card as Bryan Barberena takes on Jason Witt. The welterweight division has some magnificent fighters and these two will try to push their case forward with a victory here.

Barberena will look to continue his winning momentum after he picked up a win over Anthony Ivy at UFC Fight Night 177: Waterson vs Hill. His career record stands at 15 wins and 7 losses. He has picked up 10 KO/TKO wins, 2 submissions, and 3 decisions.

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Witt faced Matthew Semelsberger at UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad and lost the fight via knockout out in round one. He will look to bounce from that quick defeat. His record stands with 18 wins and 7 losses.

It has 3 KO/TKO, 8 submissions, 6 decision wins, and 1 via other methods. His UFC career has been so far a roller coaster with only 1 victory in 3 matches.

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Bryan Barberena vs Jason Witt- analysis

If we compare their physical stats, Barberena stands at 6 feet tall with a reach of 72″ for him. ‘The Vanilla Gorilla’ meanwhile, stands at 5 feet 10″ tall with a slightly lesser reach of 70″.

‘Bam Bam’ lands a good 5.48 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy of 48%. He absorbs 4.7 significant strikes with a defense rate of 45%. Witt lands 3.16 significant strikes with 65% accuracy. His absorption rate stands at 2.68 per minute with a 29% rate.

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‘Bam Bam’ averages 0.23 takedowns per 15 minutes with an accuracy of 28%. He has a takedown defense of 60% and attempts 0.5 submissions per 15 mins. ‘The Vanilla Gorilla’ has an average takedown of 3.65 with a rate of 50%. He has a 0 takedown defense rate with 1.8 average submissions attempted per 15 mins.

Looking at Barberena’s record and judging him as a pure striker would undersell him a bit. ‘Bam Bam’ is a tough man. He thrives in ugly fights where both fighters land heavy shots. Witt, meanwhile, is a no-nonsense submission specialist who has made eight of his past opponents tap out.

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‘The Vanilla Gorilla’ may feel he has a chance here considering Barberena’s canvas grind defeats. But those losses came to master grinders like Colby Covington and Leon Edwards, and Witt is, hands down, not yet on their level.

WATCH THIS STORY: Uriah Hall vs Sean Strickland: record, height, reach, and more

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The latter’s durability is surrounded by questions too after two quick knockout losses in the last three fights. Barberena may prove to be a hard nut for him to crack.

Final Prediction: Barberena via 1st round TKO

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Written by:

Akshyay Srichandan Mahapatra

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Akshyay Mahapatra is a UFC author for EssentiallySports. He wished to combine his passion for the UFC (that he has been following since 2008) as well as his love for writing. This motivated him to enter the world of combat sports journalism.
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