UFC Fight Night: Hall vs Strickland Prelims- Danny Chavez vs Kai Kamaka III: Prediction and Analysis

Published 07/30/2021, 12:27 AM EDT


UFC Fight Night: Hall vs Strickland features an exciting featherweight clash in its preliminary card as Danny Chavez takes on Kai Kamaka III. Both these fighters will look for a win here as both of them are coming off losses in their previous fights.

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‘The Columbian Warrior’ last fought in a losing cause against Jared Gordon who picked up a unanimous decision win at UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs Lewis. Prior to that, he was riding a four-fight winning streak including a win over ‘Contender Series’ graduate T.J. Brown.

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His current professional record stands at 11 wins and 4 losses. Danny Chavez has picked up 3 wins via KO/TKO and 8 via decisions. He will enter his third bout for the promotion after a win and a loss in his first two fights.

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Meanwhile, ‘The Fighting Hawaiian’ will enter his fourth fight for the promotion. So far, he has picked up 1 win and has suffered 2 losses. His last fight against T.J. Brown ended in a controversial split decision loss at UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs Prochazka.

His career record stands at 8 wins and 4 losses. He has picked up 1 submission win and 7 decision wins.

Danny Chavez vs Kai Kamaka III- analysis

If we compare their physical stats, Chavez stands at 5′ 8″ with a reach of 67″. Kamaka, meanwhile, stands at 5′ 7″ and has a 2″ reach advantage.

Kamaka has landed 5.63 significant strikes per minute with a 56% accuracy; Chavez has landed 2.93 significant strikes at a 39% accuracy. ‘The Fighting Hawaiian’ has absorbed 6.26 significant strikes per minute; Chavez has absorbed 4.17 significant strikes per minute.

Kamaka has averaged 2.66 takedowns per 15 mins with an accuracy of 77%. ‘The Columbian Warrior’ has an average takedown rate of 2.5 per 15 mins with an accuracy of 100%. Hence, Chavez leads Kamaka on takedown defense.

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Chavez’s raw power and linear punches can be a cause of concern for Kamaka’s chin. Meanwhile, ‘The Fighting Hawaiian’s pugnacious wrestling combined with devastating leg kicks can cause some trouble for Chavez. To be honest, this is the closest fight in terms of matchups in the entire card.

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Kamaka’s sloppy defense can be a trouble for him, but he has the durability to survive some hard shots. Given Chavez’s significant strike rate in the UFC, Kamaka may not have to absorb too many shots. He will look to use his reach advantage to land and stay out of trouble and keep his takedown defense out of the equation.

Final Prediction: Kamaka via unanimous decision

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Akshyay Srichandan Mahapatra

552 articles

Akshyay Mahapatra is a UFC author for EssentiallySports. He wished to combine his passion for the UFC (that he has been following since 2008) as well as his love for writing. This motivated him to enter the world of combat sports journalism.

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