The 2024 South Point 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway was a playoff thriller that had fans on the edge of their seats. Christopher Bell owned the early going, leading 155 of 267 laps from the pole, his No. 20 Toyota looking untouchable. But Joey Logano played the long game, stretching fuel like a pro to sneak past Daniel Suárez with six laps left, snagging the win and his Championship 4 ticket.

Bell’s speed couldn’t outrun Logano’s smarts, flipping the script in a race where timing trumped dominance. Logano’s 2025 run feels like déjà vu. After a last-place finish in the previous round, he’s back in the Round of 8, much like his 2024 path, where a second chance from Alex Bowman’s DQ propelled him to the title.

As NASCAR Las Vegas rolls out the red carpet for another high-stakes showdown, Kyle Larson’s the betting favorite, while Kyle Busch, the hometown hero, is grappling with a confidence dip that’s got fans holding their breath. With the Roval in the rearview, the 1.5-mile tri-oval is primed for drama, where strategy and speed will decide who advances to the title fight.

NASCAR Las Vegas schedule

The South Point 400 weekend at Las Vegas Motor Speedway is stacked with action. Saturday kicks off with Xfinity practice and qualifying at 2 p.m. ET on the CW App, followed by Cup practice and qualifying at 4:30 p.m. on TruTV. The Xfinity race fires up at 7:30 p.m. on CW, running 201 laps with stages at 45, 45, and 111, and five tire sets to mix up strategies. Temps in the 80s with a 20% chance of rain could add some spice; keep an eye on the weather app.

Sunday’s the main event: prerace at 5 p.m. on USA, with the Cup race dropping at 5:30 p.m. for 267 laps in stages of 80, 85, and 102, and nine tire sets for those late-game gambles. The forecast holds in the 70s with just 5% rain risk, setting up a clean, fast run under the Nevada lights. It’s a weekend where every pit stop and restart could flip the playoff script, with Larson and Busch in the spotlight.

Odds and playoff stakes

The betting odds for Sunday’s Cup race have Kyle Larson as the +400 favorite, no shock after his strong Vegas runs. Larson’s consistency, multiple top-5s at the 1.5-mile oval, makes him the guy to beat, especially with his playoff momentum.

William Byron and Denny Hamlin sit at +600, with Ryan Blaney close behind at +650. JGR’s Christopher Bell is at +800, while Chase Briscoe and Chase Elliott are +1000 long shots. Tyler Reddick (+1400) and Ross Chastain (+1600) face uphill climbs, and Joey Logano’s +2000 odds reflect his sneaky-good form.

Busch, the Las Vegas native, is a +4000 outsider, a far cry from his 2024 fall race 33rd-place finish that shook his home-track swagger. His 2025 slump, 22nd in points, 60-race winless streak, has confidence wavering, but a hometown win could flip that narrative.

Logano’s buzz is real after his 2024 victory, but the odds favor Larson’s speed. With the Round of 8 in full swing, Vegas could crown the next title contender or send Busch into deeper doubt.