The Dallas Cowboys and New York Jets square off in MetLife Stadium this weekend. Both teams have high expectations for the 2025 season, but have struggled out of the gate. The Jets are 0-4 and have dropped three one-score games in the first four weeks. The Cowboys are 1-2-1, but had the Green Bay Packers, one of the top contenders in the NFC, on the ropes last week before they kicked a game-tying field goal as time expired in overtime.
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Both teams desperately need a win this weekend if they want a chance at making the playoffs. Here are some bold predictions for this highly anticipated showdown.
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1) Justin Fields rushes for 100+ yards and a touchdown
One of the areas the Cowboys’ defense struggles is defending the run. They’ve given up over 123 yards per game on the ground, which ranks 20th in the NFL. They’ve only faced one really mobile quarterback this year, which came back in the season opener against Philadelphia. While they did a good job against Saquon Barkley, Jalen Hurts really hurt them, rushing for 62 yards and two touchdowns on the ground. This week, they face Justin Fields, who is arguably even more of a threat rushing the football than Hurts.
Fields has played just 2.5 games this year, but has 178 rushing yards and three rushing touchdowns on a 7.7-yard average. Just last week, Fields ran for 81 yards and a score against Miami. With the Jets‘ passing attack struggling at times this year, it’s not hard to envision a world where Fields uses his legs early and often and gets close to, or eclipses, the 100-yard mark.
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2) Dak Prescott throws for 350+ yards
Normally, this wouldn’t be too bold a prediction, but you have to take a couple of things into account. First, passing yards around the league are down, largely due to the new kickoff rules. The average starting field position in the NFL this season is the 30.8-yard line, which is the highest since 2005. There are fewer yards to be gained each game, which has resulted in the lowest yards per game average this decade.
You also have to consider that the Cowboys could be without star receiver CeeDee Lamb for the second straight game. That didn’t affect him too much last week against the Packers, but that game quickly turned into a shootout, and Dak Prescott attempted 40 passes. While the Jets have a stout passing defense, giving up just 199 yards through the air per game, they haven’t faced an offense that likes to throw the ball as much as the Cowboys. If he brings his A game, Prescott could have another big day.
3) Cowboys and Jets smash the over
Right now, the over/under for this game is set at 47.5 points, but we may see 60+ put on the scoreboard. The Jets and Cowboys rank 28th and 31st in opponent points per game and are giving up 30.0 and 33.0 points, respectively. On the flip side, both offenses have been pretty good. The Cowboys rank fifth in the NFL, averaging 28.5 points per game, and the Jets are averaging 26.5 points per game when Justin Fields plays the entire game.
A 47.5-point total seems pretty low for this game. With the way these two offenses have been playing, it’s not hard to imagine these two combining for 60 or more points this weekend.
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4) Dak Prescott leads a game-winning drive
With two high-powered offenses and suspect defenses, this game should come down to the wire. Through the first four weeks of the season, the Jets have not proven they can win close games. They’re 0-3 in one-score games this year, and have given up a game-winning drive in the final five minutes in each of those games.
On the other side of the field, the Cowboys dropped a one-score game to the Eagles in Week 1, but earned a huge overtime victory over the Giants in Week 2 and tied the Packers in Week 4. Dak Prescott has proven he can lead the Cowboys’ offense down the field when it matters most, and if this game is close late, it wouldn’t be surprising if he adds a 25th game-winning drive to his resume.
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