Week 9 of the 2025 NFL season is coming to a close on Monday night when the Dallas Cowboys take on the Arizona Cardinals. After the conclusion of MNF, we’ll be exactly halfway through the NFL season, which means it’s time for teams to start making their final playoff pushes.

Since MNF won’t have much of an effect on the playoff picture, we’re going to look at where things stand halfway through the season. Here’s what the NFL playoffs would look like if they started today.

Playoff odds via NFL.com.

AFC Division Leaders

1. Indianapolis Colts (7-2)

Despite their loss this week, the Indianapolis Colts are still the team to beat in the AFC. They’re one of three seven-win teams in the AFC, but they hold all the tiebreakers over the next two teams as of today. Daniel Jones and the Colts’ offense were exposed a bit this week, but they have plenty of time to get back on track and earn the No. 1 overall seed.

Playoff Chances: 90 percent

2. New England Patriots (7-2)

The New England Patriots just keep on rolling. They narrowly escaped the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday, but a one-point win counts the same as a 14-point win. All that matters is that they keep collecting wins. They’re sitting very pretty in the No. 2 seed right now, and should be pretty much a lock to make the playoffs.

Playoff Chances: 89 percent

3. Denver Broncos (7-2)

The Denver Broncos currently occupy the No. 3 seed in the conference. They were hyped up this preseason and were pretty disappointing to start the year, but they have been incredibly clutch in the fourth quarter. Eventually, their slow starts are going to bite them, but for now, they’re 7-2 and in a very good spot.

Playoff Chances: 90 percent

4. Pittsburgh Steelers (5-3)

After losing to the Green Bay Packers last week, the Pittsburgh Steelers bounced back massively, knocking off the 7-1 Colts, 27-20, to advance to 5-3 on the year. After their performance last week, many thought the Steelers were a bit dead, so this was a statement win for Pittsburgh, who hold the lead in the AFC North.

Playoff Chances: 62 percent

AFC Wild Cards

5. Buffalo Bills (6-2)

The Buffalo Bills have a chokehold on the top Wild Card spot. With their loss to the Patriots earlier this year, they lost out on the tie-breaker, which would’ve made them a top-three seed. They’ll still see each other again later this year, so there’s still time to make up the ground.

Playoff Chances: 93 percent

6. Los Angeles Chargers (6-3)

The Los Angeles Chargers have been decimated by injuries this season, but they just keep finding ways to win, even if it’s ugly. If they can get healthy, they’ll be a playoff lock, but I’m just hoping their injuries don’t come back to bite them down the line.

Playoff Chances: 69 percent

7. Jacksonville Jaguars (5-3)

Occupying the final Wild Card spot is the Jacksonville Jaguars. I don’t feel great about this team moving forward. They’re far too inconsistent and almost lost to the Raiders on Sunday, but for now, they’re in the playoff picture.

Playoff Chances: 57 percent

AFC In The Hunt

8. Kansas City Chiefs (5-4)

Part of the reason I don’t feel good about the Jags is that the Kansas City Chiefs are the team looking to bump them out of the playoffs. Unless they are plagued by injuries the rest of the year, the Chiefs are going to make the playoffs, so someone in the top seven is getting bumped out, and I think it’ll be Jacksonville.

Playoff Chances: 67 percent

9. Houston Texans (3-5)

The AFC drops off significantly after the Chiefs. The next closest team is the Houston Texans, who are 3-5 on the year despite having one of the best defenses in the league. Their offense is anemic, and I just don’t trust C.J. Stroud to get the job done anymore.

Playoff Chances: 26 percent

10. Baltimore Ravens (3-5)

The Baltimore Ravens got Lamar Jackson back last week and immediately looked like a playoff team. They’re very much on the back foot, but they’ve won a ton of games with Jackson under center, so who’s to say they can’t turn things around in Baltimore?

Playoff Chances: 49 percent

NFC Division Leaders

1. Philadelphia Eagles (6-2)

Despite their offensive struggles early in the year, the Philadelphia Eagles hold the top spot in the NFC playoff picture. The NFC is loaded, and these standings are likely the change pretty much every week, but for now, they control their own destiny.

Playoff Chances: 95 percent

2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-2)

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are another team that’s been plagued by injuries recently, but they’ve managed to stay afloat and currently hold the No. 2 seed in the NFC. They’re in a very weak division and should easily win it, so expect them to maintain a top-four seed throughout the season.

Playoff Chances: 93 percent

3. Seattle Seahawks (6-2)

The Seattle Seahawks are coming off a dominating win over the Commanders on Sunday Night Football. They look like one of the best teams in the league, but are just the No. 3 seed in the NFC, which goes to show you how deep this conference really is.

Playoff Chances: 86 percent

4. Green Bay Packers (5-2-1)

The Packers are one of the toughest teams to figure out. They have a couple of big wins, but have also lost to a couple of bad teams. They’re very inconsistent right now, but with the rest of the NFC North taking games off each other, they still sit atop their division despite a loss on Sunday. I still don’t trust this team all that much.

Playoff Chances: 83 percent

NFC Wild Cards

5. Los Angeles Rams (6-2)

It feels criminal that a top-three team in the league is the No. 5 seed in the playoffs, but because the Seahawks currently lead the NFC West, the Los Angeles Rams occupy the top Wild Card spot in the NFC. The NFC West battle will be an absolute battle between these two teams, and it’s crazy to think the loser will have to play on the road to open the playoffs.

Playoff Chances: 91 percent

6. San Francisco 49ers (6-3)

Another team that could be in contention in the NFC West is the San Francisco 49ers. They might be the team that’s been the most affected by injuries, and yet they’re 6-3 and right in the playoff picture. If they can get some of their players back sooner rather than later, they could be in the mix for a top-four seed.

Playoff Chances: 78 percent

7. Detroit Lions (5-3)

The Detroit Lions are currently the last team in the playoffs in the NFC. They just lost a disappointing one to the Minnesota Vikings, but still have one of the best offenses in the league. They should be able to turn things around and battle for the NFC North title.

Playoff Chances: 71 percent

NFC In The Hunt

8. Chicago Bears (5-3)

The Chicago Bears are winners of five of their last six games and are coming off a thrilling victory over the Bengals. I wasn’t so sure they’re a playoff-caliber team, but they’ve played very well recently and are certainly in the mix. It’s going to be hard to top any of those teams already in the playoff picture, but if anyone can, it’s Chicago.

Playoff Chances: 27 percent

9. Carolina Panthers (5-4)

The Carolina Panthers are 5-4 and are enjoying their best season with Bryce Young under center. Unfortunately, the NFC is loaded this year, and it’s hard to see them making up enough ground to overtake the eight teams above them.

Playoff Chances: 23 percent

10. Minnesota Vikings (4-4)

After knocking off the Lions on Sunday, the Vikings have put themselves squarely in the NFC hunt. They’re the only .500 team in the league, and if J.J. McCarthy can keep playing at a high level, they could compete for the NFC North crown. There’s very little room for error, though.

Playoff Chances: 21 percent