The Miami Dolphins and New York Jets meet under the lights on Monday Night Football at Hard Rock Stadium on September 29, 2025. Both teams enter Week 4 searching for their first win, each 0-3 after tough starts. Fans can expect a humid Miami evening, where gusty winds and a chance of rain could shape the action on the field.

The game will kick off at 7:15 p.m. ET. According to the NFLWeather.com, temperatures will range from 76–83°F, with humidity around 80–88% and a dew point of 73°F. While northwest winds will blow 7–10 mph, gusts up to 20 mph. There’s a 40% chance of showers and thunderstorms, with partly cloudy skies afterward.

Cloud cover will start at 36-39% during the first half before clearing to just 15% in the second half, with excellent visibility near 10 miles. However, Hard Rock Stadium’s natural grass surface could become problematic if any precipitation occurs.

Even brief rainfall on the open grass field could create slippery footing conditions and complicate passing accuracy for both teams. Players and coaches will need to monitor conditions closely, as the natural surface tends to become treacherous quickly when moisture is present.

The heat and gusts could challenge players’ timing and stamina. Quarterbacks like Tua Tagovailoa, who averages 191.7 passing yards per game, must adjust throws carefully. Receivers and running backs, including De’Von Achane with 147 rushing yards and two receiving touchdowns, will need to stay balanced on slick turf.

If the rain and wind arrive as expected, how teams adapt could decide which side finally ends its losing streak.

Jets vs. Dolphins game-day scenarios

Miami enters as a 2.5-point favorite. Tagovailoa has thrown five touchdowns this season with a 69.7% completion rate. De’Von Achane’s dual-threat ability gives Miami flexibility, especially if rain slows New York’s pass rush. Miami has scored first in one of three games: a rushing touchdown, which could set an early tone.

The quarterback situation adds extra tension for the Jets. Justin Fields, out since Week 2 with a concussion, will start against Miami, even though he only had one full practice this week and stayed in non-contact drills.

Last week, Tyrod Taylor stepped in, throwing for 197 yards and two touchdowns, but also turning the ball over twice, including a costly interception returned for a touchdown. Coach Aaron Glenn made it clear that Fields will be QB1 once he returns healthy. It’s a risk, but the Jets need his playmaking to end their 0-3 skid.

Additionally, Garrett Wilson, averaging 76.3 receiving yards per game, will be his main target.

Prop bets could shift with the weather. Tagovailoa’s passing yards over/under is 238.5, above his average. Achane’s rushing prop sits at 55.5 yards. Wilson’s receiving prop is 57.5 yards. Wet conditions could create room for big plays in any of these categories.

Fans attending the game at Hard Rock Stadium should prepare for humid conditions with the possibility of wet weather throughout the evening. Brief showers could create pivotal moments that shift game momentum, making weather management a crucial factor.

The potential for quick weather changes means adaptability and precise execution become equally important as raw talent. Team that can adjust its game plans and maintain composure during adverse conditions will have a significant advantage in what could be a weather-influenced contest.