The Baltimore Ravens and Kansas City Chiefs will enter Arrowhead Stadium with a chip on their shoulder. With both teams sitting at 1-2, they will look to bounce back in Week 4. Coach John Harbaugh’s squad enters the matchup as the clear favorites. However, following their loss to the Detroit Lions and the Chiefs’ strong performance against the New York Giants, nothing can be taken for granted.

Here are the five predictions for the Ravens vs. Chiefs game. And the first prediction is that the Ravens seem to have a chance to win the game.

The Ravens beat the Chiefs

Kansas City finds itself in an unusual position as home underdogs, a scenario that has occurred just twice during Patrick Mahomes’ career at Arrowhead Stadium. Four years ago, Buffalo entered as road favorites and delivered a convincing victory over the Chiefs.

Two weeks ago, Philadelphia replicated that success by winning as road favorites at Arrowhead. The pattern suggests that when oddsmakers make Kansas City home underdogs, visiting teams have capitalized on the opportunity, raising questions about whether the Chiefs struggle with the unfamiliar role of not being favored on their home field.

Needless to mention the talented roster of the Ravens with quarterback Lamar Jackson and running back Derrick Henry. If the Ravens can get their run game on track, a win is not far away. What makes a strong case for the Ravens is their mistakes in defense, which are correctable. It struggled to keep the opponents out of the end zone. If the team can fix the issue, a win might not be tough.

It’s quite possible if Jackson puts in an explosive game.

Lamar Jackson keeps up with the expectations

Jackson has put up strong numbers by running over 100 yards in two of five career games against the Chiefs. Jackson started last season strong, running for 122 yards against the Chiefs in the opener. He has been impressive this season, too, with 722 passing yards, nine touchdowns, no interceptions, and 118 rushing yards.

Jackson typically scrambles when pocket protection breaks down and receivers lack separation, using open running lanes to extend drives. He also carries the rushing load when defenses focus on stopping the running back.

After absorbing seven sacks against Detroit, Jackson should find better escape opportunities and running room against Kansas City’s defense. His mobility becomes crucial for Baltimore’s offensive success when traditional passing lanes close.

If he can repeat the previous successes, it wouldn’t be difficult for the Ravens to topple the Chiefs, who are struggling with their own issues.

Xavier Worthy returns for Week 4

One of the toughest hits for the Chiefs was wide receiver Worthy’s shoulder injury. Quarterback Patrick Mahomes’ struggles on the field without his WRs Worthy and Rashee Rice have been evident in the game. Without the players, the Chiefs’ offense has leaned heavily on short passes from Mahomes. While he keeps drives alive, too many of them drag on with double-digit plays and ultimately stall out in field goals.

But the good news is Worthy has been practicing, and he might be present in the Week 4 game. While his appearance can boost the Chiefs, the Ravens will also look for opportunities when the two top playmakers aren’t on the field.

The Chiefs win against the Ravens, using their biggest weakness this season.

The Baltimore Ravens have a vulnerable defense against the run. And this might allow the Chiefs to flip the game. The Ravens’ defense is no longer the nightmare matchup it once was for struggling ground games. Detroit shredded them last week as Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery combined for 218 yards and four touchdowns. Earlier, Buffalo ran for 100-plus and three scores in Week 1, and rookie Quinshon Judkins gashed them for 6.1 yards per carry in his debut. With Xavier Worthy stretching defenses, Isaiah Pacheco should see more space, and this week could mark his best outing of the season. The Chiefs could just come away with a victory based on the run game.

However, the Chiefs seemingly lack one thing that could turn against them.

Patrick Mahomes has the best game of the season

The Ravens are 2.5-point favorites at BetMGM, a fair line despite Patrick Mahomes’ strong track record as an underdog. The Chiefs failed to cover their home advantage against the Eagles in Week 2, and their offensive struggles look tough to solve given the lack of talent around Mahomes.

Patrick Mahomes enters Week 4 without one of his top receivers, but he’ll face a Ravens defense in disarray after being tormented by the Lions. Mahomes has just 669 yards with three touchdowns and one interception this season, but this is statistically the weakest defense he’s seen, giving him a shot at his first 300-yard game. Baltimore, which surrendered big outings to Josh Allen and Jared Goff, has struggled even when opponents start deep in their own territory. John Harbaugh’s group needs answers fast if it hopes to slow Mahomes. Or Mahomes might just run away with the game.

The Chiefs’ offensive flaws are real, but if there’s ever a week for Mahomes and Pacheco to break through, it’s against a Ravens defense that suddenly looks very vulnerable.