As if it wasn’t already clear, Lamar Jackson is a hugely creative player. During one particular game, his team were starting 10 yards from the touchdown line. As soon as he got the ball, he executed some exceptional dodging and weaving skills before he waltzed to to the end zone.

The Baltimore Ravens quarterback heads into the new season on the back of a strong 2019. To make matters even better, he even bagged a league MVP award for himself. Jackson was by far one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL, just behind Carolina Panthers running back Christian McCaffrey in total PPR scoring.

Lamar Jackson is somebody to watch out for

Jackson averaged 1.0 passing touchdowns per start as a rookie in 2018, which also includes playoffs. Last season that jumped to 2.31 per start. Assuming Jackson plays all 16 games in 2020, this total comes down to whether he averages more or less than 1.69 passing touchdowns per start.

There has been a considerable amount of hype about Jackson’s progression as a passer. One thing that will help him immensely is building a better team around him. Additions like wide receivers Devin Duvernay and James Proche, can be lethal for the Ravens.

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Secondly, a lot is riding on the progression and health of Marquise Brown. Brown spent his rookie season recovering from a foot injury. Once Jackson and a fully fit Brown team up, the Ravens, should be a force to be reckoned with.

There’s significant precedent for a drop below the posted total set by the last two years’ touchdown percentage leaders. Since this bet doesn’t include rushing scores, we need to focus on the very reasonable possibility of 23 passing touchdowns. That represents a 3.2% drop in touchdown percentage but includes an additional game played.

Even a drop from 9% to 6% with the addition of a 16th start wouldn’t be enough to get Jackson to 27 passing touchdowns, assuming he throws the same amount of passes per game as last season. Keep in mind that only four quarterbacks in the entire league had a touchdown percentage above 6% last season.