With Wild Card weekend done and dusted, just eight teams are remaining in the hunt for the Lombardi Trophy. It’s pretty much anyone’s game, but according to the sports books, the Seahawks seem to be the consensus favorites to win the Super Bowl this year, with the Rams, Patriots, Bills, and Broncos following closely. But do the sports books have it right?

I went through and looked at all eight remaining teams’ odds and gave my own odds for them to win the Super Bowl. Vegas and I agree (or came close to agreeing) on a few, but there are also a few teams we’re pretty far off on.

(1) Denver Broncos

Despite being the 1-seed in the AFC, the Denver Broncos have the fifth-best odds to win the Super Bowl this year, according to FanDuel. I think that’s absolutely insane. All they did this year was win, and the Rams and Patriots showed me they can be exposed against the right team. I know their Super Bowl odds dipped very low because they have to play the Buffalo Bills this weekend, but I believe the winner of that game will go to the Super Bowl, so I think their odds need to be quite a bit lower than +800. I put them at +450.

My Odds: +450

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Real Odds: +800

(2) New England Patriots

Drake Maye and the New England Patriots are FanDuel’s third-favorite to win the Super Bowl this year. They are tied for the best odds in the AFC, but in my eyes, they should be closer to fifth. I believe there are two teams in the AFC – the Bills and Broncos – who are more likely to win the Super Bowl than New England, and there are a couple of teams in the NFC that we’ll get to later that I think also have a better shot. No disrespect, but they’re ahead of schedule, and I think they’ll fall short.

My Odds: +700

Real Odds: +600

(5) Houston Texans

The Houston Texans have the sixth-longest odds according to FanDuel, and I think they’re pretty much right on the money. They have the best defense in the league, but that offense is just not very good, especially if Nico Collins misses time. C.J. Stroud is not a franchise quarterback, and he’s proven that time and time again. He can make some big throws, but he had FIVE fumbles and a pick in the red zone last week. I have them right behind New England, because I think there’s a real chance they win this week, but probably fall short in the AFC Championship.

My Odds: +800

Real Odds: +900

(6) Buffalo Bills

As I said earlier, I think the winner of the Bills and Broncos will end up representing the AFC in the Super Bowl, and right now, I’m slightly leaning toward the Bills winning this game, which is why I gave them +400 odds compared to Denver’s +450. The road isn’t going to be easy for Buffalo, and you can argue they have the worst roster of the four AFC teams, but they have Josh Allen, and he’s miles ahead of Drake Maye, Bo Nix, and C.J. Stroud, especially in the playoffs. They’re my favorites to win it in the AFC.

My Odds: +400

Real Odds: +600

(1) Seattle Seahawks

FanDuel and I agree that the Seattle Seahawks should be the favorites to win the Super Bowl. I don’t necessarily think they will, but when you look at their roster and their road to the big game, it seems like there’s a pretty good chance they end up representing the NFC. I am a bit concerned about Sam Darnold after his performance in the playoffs last year, but he learned from that game and should be better this time around. They’re basically Houston with a better offense.

My Odds: +350

Real Odds: +270

(2) Chicago Bears

Despite being the 2-seed in the NFC, the Chicago Bears have the second-longest odds to win it all according to FanDuel. And I hate to say it, but I agree. I think everyone in the AFC has a better shot, and at least two teams in the NFC do as well. The Rams aren’t going to be an easy out this week, and if they do manage to win, they have to either host a red-hot 49ers team or go to Seattle. I just don’t see them winning those two games AND the Super Bowl against Josh Allen, Drake Maye, or either of Houston or Denver’s defense.

My Odds: +1100

Real Odds: +1200

(5) Los Angeles Rams

FanDuel has the Los Angeles Rams with the second-best odds to win it all behind Seattle, but I think they should be behind Seattle, Buffalo, and Denver, but only slightly. After that game against Carolina, I’m a bit worried. How injured is Matthew Stafford? Is their defense going to keep giving up 30+? Those answers to those questions remain to be seen, so for now, they’re in the middle of the pack. They do still have the best roster in the playoffs, in my opinion, so they can’t slide too far.

My Odds: +470

Real Odds: +320

(6) San Francisco 49ers

As much as I hate to say it, San Francisco has to have the lowest odds. They’re just too injured, and now they have to go to Seattle, who just held them to three points two weeks ago, and face a team coming off 13 days of rest, while they had five. It’s just not a fair fight, and if they do make it through this round, they’ll have to go to Chicago in the frigid cold or to LA, and I don’t see them winning either of those.

My Odds: +2000

Real Odds: +2200