Roger Federer to Drop Out of Top 5 Post Australian Open 2021 Withdrawal

Published 12/30/2020, 1:25 PM EST

Roger Federer has withdrawn from the Australian Open 2021 and will now lose the points he had earned in 2020. For now, however, Federer has enough points to stay in the top 10 ATP rankings but he will drop out of the top 5.

Federer is currently ranked 5th with 6630 ranking points. He will lose 800 points as he was a semifinalist at the Australian Open in 2020. That reduces his ranking points to 5910 points.

Even with this, Federer is well clear of 10th placed Matteo Berrettini. And thus it is unlikely that Federer will drop out of the top 10, even if Berrettini wins the Australian Open 2021. But a top 5 omission is almost certain.

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So where could Roger Federer end up after the Australian Open 2021?

With the loss of points, Federer’s best ranking after the Australian Open can be sixth and the worst ranking can be eighth. Federer is currently ranked fifth, Stefanos Tsitsipas is sixth, Alexander Zverev is seventh and Andrey Rublev is eighth.

Once the Australian Open starts, all the above players will drop points, but Federer won’t be able to gain any points as he won’t be playing. So deducting last year’s points we have Federer with 5910, Tsitsipas with 5835, Zverev with 4805, and Rublev with 3939 points.

A third-round run and Tsitsipas will overtake Federer. If Zverev reaches the final, then he will jump Federer. And if Rublev wins the Grand Slam, then he will overtake Federer. If all the above stipulations happen, then Federer will drop to eighth.

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It looks highly likely that Federer would drop to sixth seeing as Zverev reaching the final is a long shot. Moreover, as good as he has been this year, it will be a herculean task for Rublev to win the Grand Slam. So Federer is expected to be in sixth place after the Australian Open 2021.

It is after the Australian Open that Federer defends his 2019 points as well. Being the defending champion at the Miami Open, Halle Open, and Basel Open, he will drop points if he doesn’t perform there.

And in Grand Slam events, Federer had reached the finals of Wimbledon in 2019 and he will have to defend that in 2021. So Federer could drop out of the top 10 if he doesn’t win more titles this year.

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Bhavishya Mittal is a tennis author for EssentiallySports, who is currently pursuing his Bachelor's degree in Journalism from Manipal University. A former sports editor for The Manipal Journal, Bhavishya has also worked for The New Indian Express. He has a keen eye for many sports but he is a particularly ardent follower of tennis, with a zest to create riveting articles on the ever-evolving sport.

Roger Federer to Drop Out of Top 5 Post Australian Open 2021 Withdrawal

So where could Roger Federer end up after the Australian Open 2021?

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