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UFC 254: Khabib Nurmagomedov vs Justin Gaethje- Prediction and Analysis

Published 10/23/2020, 1:49 AM EDT

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The main event for UFC 254 is set to see a legacy-defining lightweight clash between Khabib Nurmagomedov and Justin Gaethje. The former will defend his gold strap against the interim 155-pound champion whilst trying to build on his undefeated record. The bout is looked at as Khabib’s hardest test as Justin brings forth elite striking with collegiate D-1 wrestling.

Chiefly, the winner of the title unification match-up will further bolster their visibility in the mainstream audience’s eyes. UFC 254 is trending to be one of the best-selling PPV’s of the year and Khabib is a certified star. In fact, the Flash Forum in Abu Dhabi began talks for accommodating a crowd to go along with the UFC’s new time slot. The aforementioned card will take place at a time that accommodates the locals because of Nurmagomedov’s popularity in the region.

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UFC lightweights: Khabib Nurmagomedov vs Justin Gaethje

The Eagle’ brings forth a lethal blend of offensively smothering wrestling coupled with rapidly improving striking. Moreover, the walls begin to quickly close in once Khabib takes his opponents’ back and mounts offense. His patented ‘Dagestani Handcuffs’, fence driving trips, and wrist control make him virtually unstoppable on the canvas.

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Justin Gaethje lives up to his moniker in more ways than one, having earned nine performance bonuses in just seven fights. ‘The Highlight’ has upscaled his game drastically since his arrival in the UFC and is more than a ferocious brawler. His fight against Tony Ferguson at UFC 249 in May showcased his ability to technically dismantle any lightweight who stands with him.

Not to mention, he hasn’t revealed the effects of his wrestling in the octagon and takes this as an X-factor. Regardless, Khabib Nurmagomedov’s dominance on the ground is unparalleled no matter who he faces. What’s more, he has shown himself to be defensively responsible with his footwork and movement should he absorb threatening strikes from Gaethje.

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All things considered, ‘The Eagle’ has more tools to victory should he successfully ground his opponent. Although Justin can shut down the lights with one punch, Khabib’s durability will factor. Furthermore, Gaethje takes his foot off the pedal at different intervals, and being fatigued is the last thing he’d want.

Prediction: Khabib Nurmagomedov to claim a fourth-round submission win

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Written by:

Darryl Pinto

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Darryl Pinto is a senior MMA writer at EssentiallySports. He is currently pursuing his graduate degree in Mass Media (with a specialization in Journalism) out of Xavier’s College and has a year's experience in his current role. Darryl specializes in predictions, reporting, and covering UFC events live.
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