UFC Fight Night: Covington vs Woodley: Kevin Holland vs Darren Stewart- Prediction and Analysis

Published 09/19/2020, 5:51 AM EDT


Middleweight fighters Darren Stewart and Kevin Holland have made a quick turnaround and will return to the UFC Apex just six weeks after the previous fights. The duo will kick off the main card proceedings at UFC Fight Night: Covington vs Woodley, which serves as the promotion’s final US fight card for September. 

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The unranked duo is coming off finishes in their previous fights and will look to capitalize on their momentum. Given their stats and current form, fans can expect no qualms from both fighters in going for yet another finish.

UFC Fight Night: Kevin Holland vs Darren Stewart

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Kevin Holland is the fighter with a higher striking volume and dominates in the UFC statistics. He landed 4.65 significant strikes per minute across seven UFC fights at a 55% accuracy and has out-landed his opponent in every fight following his debut.  

The numbers project him as an offensive fighter, but he has remained mindful of his opponents’ strikes. ‘Trail Blazer’ Holland absorbed just 2.69 significant strikes per minute in the UFC. Furthermore, he deflected 58% of his opponents’ attempts to finish him. 

This does not make for good reading for Darren Stewart fans as ‘The Dentist’ landed a lowly 2.97 strikes per minute with a 43% strike accuracy. He is defensively sound and absorbed 2.47 significant strikes per minute in the UFC.

Despite his lowly strike stats, he boasts of seven KO’s from 12 wins. This highlights the British fighter’s ability to identify the perfect opening and make his strikes count. Furthermore, given his first submission win, which came in his last fight, he may entertain the idea of landing a takedown to dominate proceedings.

Read: UFC Fight Night: Covington vs Woodley: Colby Covington vs Tyron Woodley- Prediction and Analysis

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Stewart would be better off not taking the fight to the ground as Holland holds six career submission wins and could turn the fight quickly on the ground. However, he may try to put ‘Trail Blazer’s’ 51% takedown defense to the test. 

Given, ‘The Dentist’s’ seven-inch reach disadvantage, he will take a lot of damage and will have to risk absorbing a KO as he tries to get in close either for a strike or a takedown. Based on the statistics and the measurables, it is Kevin Holland’s fight to lose. 

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Prediction: Kevin Holland to win via second-round TKO

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Reubyn Coutinho

1008 articles

Reubyn Coutinho is a Combat Sports editor at EssentiallySports with over 2 years of journalistic experience. Having earned his bachelor's degree in Mass Media with a specialization in Journalism from Xavier's College, Reubyn has interned with the sports desks at DNA and Times Now before joining EssentiallySports to further his passion for sports content. Reubyn has interviewed former UFC champions like 'Mighty Mouse' Demetrious Johnson and Miesha Tate.

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