UFC Fight Night: Covington vs Woodley: Mackenzie Dern vs Randa Markos- Prediction and Analysis

Published 09/19/2020, 7:52 AM EDT


The sole women’s bout on the UFC Fight Night: Covington vs Woodley main card sees strawweight fighter Randa Markos and Mackenzie Dern duke it out in the 25-foot octagon. ‘Quiet Storm’ Markos has not kick-started her career well. She is yet to string a series of wins since winning her first three professional bouts. However, to her credit, she hasn’t lost back-to-back bouts either. This could change on September 19.

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Dern is a submission specialist who has five career submission wins in nine fights. She holds the #15 rank in the 115-pound division. She has suffered just one professional defeat and bounced back in style after going down to Amanda Ribas on her comeback last October. 

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Read: “That Leg Work Was So Dirty”- Jon Jones Heaps Praises on Mackenzie Dern

UFC Fight Night: Randa Markos vs Mackenzie Dern- Analysis

In the UFC, Dern has claimed two submission wins without resorting to a takedown. This shows that she can swiftly turn the tide on her opponent, even in a striking contest. She averaged 1.3 submissions every three rounds, which guarantees that Markos will have to fend her off if their fight goes the distance. 

‘Quiet Storm’ holds a 58% takedown defense, but her UFC significant strike statistics make for dismal reading. The 35-year-old fighter landed just 2.96 strikes in 14 UFC fights. This lowly statistic is accompanied by a dismal 41% of strikes landed. 

Markos absorbed 3.31 significant strikes per minute. This shows that she will be susceptible defensively against Mackenzie Dern, especially if her 60% strikes defended stats fall through.

Dern landed 3.14 significant strikes per minute in the UFC with a 32% accuracy. She absorbed 3.97 strikes but holds a good strike defense of 65%. Given Markos’ numbers and lack of career KO wins, Dern, may not have to worry about a potential fight-ending strike at the UFC Apex. 

Read: UFC Fight Night: Covington vs Woodley: Khamzat Chimaev vs Gerald Meerschaert- Prediction and Analysis

This could see the 27-year-old go all out, apply intense pressure, and claim a win to boost her standings among the UFC strawweight elite. Markos winning is unlikely unless Mackenzie Dern makes a huge error at the event. 

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Prediction: Mackenzie Dern to win via second-round submission. 

Read: UFC Fight Night: Covington vs Woodley: Donald Cerrone vs Niko Price- Prediction and Analysis

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Reubyn Coutinho

1008 articles

Reubyn Coutinho is a Combat Sports editor at EssentiallySports with over 2 years of journalistic experience. Having earned his bachelor's degree in Mass Media with a specialization in Journalism from Xavier's College, Reubyn has interned with the sports desks at DNA and Times Now before joining EssentiallySports to further his passion for sports content. Reubyn has interviewed former UFC champions like 'Mighty Mouse' Demetrious Johnson and Miesha Tate.

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