UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs Magny- Preliminary Card Prediction and Analysis

Published 01/20/2021, 6:10 AM EST

The preliminary card for UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs Magny is stacked with 8 fights that have the potential to steal bonus honors. There’s something for everyone as several fighters are looking to make a big splash in their respective division. Moreover, the KO rate is expected to be high looking at the way most fighters on the card like to operate.


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UFC middleweights: Omari Akhmedov vs Tom Breese

Omari ‘Wolverine’ Akhmedov suffered a rather decisive unanimous decision loss to former middleweight champion Chris Weidman in his last fight. His grappling heavy style can be effective against Breese who likes to stand tall. Akhmedov’s durability is the biggest facet he brings to the table that frustrates his opponents.


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Tom Breese has heavy hands at 185-pounds as displayed in his last outing against KB Bullar. He hasn’t remained consistent and has split wins and losses back and forth. Any moments of dwindling focus will likely lead to a fast trip onto the canvas.

Prediction: Omari Akhmedov to claim a unanimous decision victory

Bantamweights: Ricky Simon vs Gaetano Pirrello

Veteran UFC fighter Ricky Simon last fought in May 2020 and picked up a split decision victory over Ray Borg. His strength of schedule speaks for itself and he’s dangerous no matter where the fight goes. Gaetano Pirrello will have to be wary of Simon’s neck attacks when going after the grappling exchanges.

Prediction: Ricky Simon to claim a submission victory

Flyweights: Su Mudaerji vs Zarrukh Adashev

‘The Tibetan Eagle’ had an incredible showing in his last outing as he KO’d Malcolm Gordon in just 44 seconds. Su Mudaerji is no stranger to getting his opponent out early, and he’s happy to work in close range. Chiefly, his reflexes are well-calibrated to fire off counter shots should his opponent be defensively mindful.

Zarruk Adashev is quite green in his career, coming in with a 3-2 professional record thus far. ‘The Lion’ was KO’d in his last fight against Tyson Nam in just 32 seconds back in June 2020. Su Mudaerji isn’t the most favorable stylistic match-up, and he could find his speed difficult to deal with.

Prediction: Su Mudaerji to claim a first-round TKO

Middleweights: Dalcha Lungiambula vs Markus Perez

‘Champion’ Lungiambula is looking to pick up his second UFC win after suffering a KO loss to Magomedov Ankalaev. While Dalcha is a durable fighter, he’s not to most defensively sound in the early moments of the fight. Moreover, Markus Perez has built his entire game around being an explosive presence.

Prediction: Markus Perez to claim a unanimous decision victory

Flyweights: Francisco Figueiredo vs Jerome Rivera

Flyweight champion Deiveson Figueiredo’s brother Francisco Figueiredo make his first appearance in the UFC against Jerome Rivera. ‘Sniper’ is a precision puncher as his name would suggest, and the lethal power runs in the family. Not to mention, he’s well-sized at flyweight and walks around much heavier than the 125-pound limit.

Jerome Rivera will have a rough go trying to keep up with the speed that Figueiredo will come out with from the get-go. ‘The Renegade’ Rivera is coming off a TKO loss to Tyson Nam, and he showed some costly hesitation in that fight. The margin for error will be high and his inability to tuck his chin could prove lethal against Figueiredo.

Prediction: Francisco Figueiredo to claim a unanimous decision victory

Lightweight: Mike Davis vs Mason Jones

‘Beast Boy’ Mike Davis is set to come in with an 8-2 record and has gone 1-1 in his UFC run thus far. He’s had some time out of the cage, having competed last in October 2019. Davis showcased his heavy hands in his last contest and proved that he carries power deep into the fight.

Mason Jones is an undefeated prospect out of Wales looking to make a serious brace for UFC gold. He’s looked increasingly impressive in his run at Cage Warriors and is no slouch in the power and dynamic department. Furthermore, there’s plenty to be said about his ability to take a punch and he’ll favor his chances over Davis.

Prediction: Mason Jones to claim a second-round TKO

Bantamweights: Umar Nurmagomedov vs Sergey Morozov

Umar Nurmagomedov makes his long-awaited UFC debut after plenty of scheduling issues delayed his arrival. The 12-0 prospect has been a terror to bantamweights throughout his career, and he’s a serious grappling threat. Although he’s facing a more experienced opponent, there’s no denying that Nurmagomedov is extremely adept at what he does.

Sergey Morozov is on a five-fight win streak and hasn’t lost since February 2018. He’s fresh off a 5 five-round main event feature bout, and his cardio isn’t something that’s going to be a factor of concern. Moreover, Morozov carries his explosiveness late into the bout and he possesses fast-twitch movement that can threaten a grappler.

Prediction: Umar Nurmagomedov to claim a split decision victory


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Women’s flyweight: Victoria Leonardo vs Manon Fiorot

Victoria Leonardo is fresh off an impressive showing at Dana White’s Contender Series as she earned a TKO finish. ‘Fury’ can control the octagon right from the get-go, and this could be an issue for a counter striker like Fiorot. Although Manon Fiorot has her moments of heavy forward pressure, she tends to land heavier off the back foot. Defense and octagon control would be key in their match-up.

Prediction: Victoria Leonardo to claim a unanimous decision victory


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Darryl Pinto

1600 articles

Darryl Pinto is a senior MMA writer at EssentiallySports. He is currently pursuing his graduate degree in Mass Media (with a specialization in Journalism) out of Xavier’s College and has a year's experience in his current role. Darryl specializes in predictions, reporting, and covering UFC events live.