With UFC 322 in the rearview mirror, all eyes are on Belal Muhammad versus Ian Machado Garry at UFC Qatar. This fight is more than just about skill; it’s also a collision of narratives. ‘Remember the Name’ returns to Qatar ready to reclaim the status he once held, proving that his title loss was a stumble, not a ceiling. Meanwhile, ‘The Future’ enters with the assurance of a rising star who believes the division is already his. Their fight will do more than just change rankings; it will also shape the next chapter of the welterweight scene.

The contrast is clear. Muhammad is a grinder who outlasts nearly everyone. Garry is the precise striker, a modern technician designed for standout moments. Both will look to further their wins, and the fight should be epic on paper, but how do they compare?

Belal Muhammad and Ian Garry stats comparison

Belal Muhammad brings a foundation of volume, grit, and unrelenting pressure. Standing 5’11” with a 72-inch reach, he has a 24-4 record and one no contest. While not known for quick finishes, he compensates with consistency: five knockouts, one submission, and the great majority of his wins have been by decision. He uses a clean orthodox stance and a well-rounded strategy that combines consistent output with high pressure.

‘Remember the Name’ lands approximately 4.46 significant strikes per minute with a 43% accuracy, absorbing 3.78 in return. His defensive statistics, 55% striking defense and an exceptional 89% takedown defense, indicate a fighter who rarely offers opponents easy opportunities.

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His offensive wrestling averages 2.28 takedowns every 15 minutes, and while he isn’t a strong finisher, he uses control to determine the pace of fights. His record since early 2023, which includes key victories over Gilbert Burns and Sean Brady in the UFC, illustrates a career built on endurance and problem-solving.

Ian Machado Garry presents a stark stylistic contrast that causes real chaos in the UFC. Standing 6’3″ with a 74-inch reach, he is clearly the taller, longer, and smoother striker. His record of 16-1 includes seven knockouts, one submission, and the rest by decision. What distinguishes ‘The Future’ is his clean technique: he lands 4.72 significant strikes per minute with an astounding 55% accuracy while absorbing only 2.82.

His defense is 52%, but his movement and distance control often keep him out of trouble more successfully than statistics would suggest. His grappling is simple but effective: 0.74 takedowns on 55% accuracy and a 74% takedown defense rate, allowing him to keep his fights standing when desired.

Ian Machado Garry’s game is based on precision, timing, and finding shots before opponents even notice the openings. His recent run shows that he can take apart brawlers, wrestlers, and strikers alike, as long as the 28-year-old is allowed to work at his preferred distance.

The stylistic comparison between the two UFC welterweights

This is a fight built on contrast: volume versus accuracy, pressure versus patience, and experience versus momentum. Belal Muhammad thrives on making bouts uncomfortable. The former UFC Welterweight champion enjoys crowding opponents, overwhelming them with pace, and forcing exchanges on his terms. ‘Remember the Name’ does not need to dominate moments; he just needs to win them consistently.

Against a taller, rangier opponent like Garry, he’ll want to push forward, smother kicks, and make this a wrestling-heavy, grueling match. ‘The Future,’ on the other hand, thrives in Muhammad’s despised long-range environment. His best performances happen when he can maintain distance, dictate striking exchanges, and create angles using his feet.

Against Belal Muhammad, Garry’s strategy relies on staying disciplined, punishing entries, and forcing the veteran to reset multiple times. His height and accuracy give him a natural edge, but his ability to keep the fight clean is determined by how well he handles the former champion’s pressure.

Fight tempo will be crucial in this UFC bout. Belal Muhammad tends to get better as the bout progresses, but the 28-year-old Garry is generally at his best early on when he is fresh and reading the situation. If the action gets chaotic, ‘Remember the Name’ gains an advantage. If it remains clean and measured, Garry’s surgical precision will prevail.

Muhammad and Garry: final prediction for UFC Qatar

This duel boils down to who can impose their game plan early on. Belal Muhammad offers experience, a large fuel tank, and the capacity to turn fights ugly. He has defeated top-tier opponents by denying them space to breathe. If the former UFC champion can continuously narrow the distance, mix takedown attempts, and force Ian Machado Garry backward, he will have a clear road to a grueling decision.

However, Garry’s precision and range pose significant challenges for Muhammad. The Irishman’s ability to hit without overcommitting, paired with his outstanding defensive wrestling, suggests ‘The Future’ can keep the fight going long enough to defeat ‘Remember the Name.’ His footwork may neutralize Muhammad’s pressure, and his ability to absorb significantly fewer strikes puts him in a safer position over three rounds. Muhammad is usually difficult to choose against, but stylistically, Garry has the advantage in this clash.

Final Prediction: Ian Machado Garry wins by decision after winning the striking exchanges in the early rounds and defending enough takedowns to keep control of the fight’s tempo. It won’t be simple or pretty, but Garry’s speed, range, and accuracy provide him with the narrowest of margins in a high-stakes war.