UFC is making its highly anticipated return to Vegas in April after thrilling events in Mexico and London in the last two weeks of March. There’s nothing like a homecoming event, and fans have eagerly been awaiting the showdown between Pat Sabatini and Joanderson Brito. After the intense build-up, the stage is set to light up in Vegas, with Josh Emmett taking on Lerone Murphy in the main event. But don’t count out the Sabatini vs. Brito fight – it’s got fans buzzing and promises to deliver excitement in its own right.

“Staying active under the lights keeps you prepared in the environment of competing,” says Pat Sabatini about his career within the UFC. As the fighter prepares for a showdown this weekend, the fans are curious about the UFC Vegas 105 picks. Given their past performances inside the Octagon, a Fight of the Night could well go to their basket. So, who will emerge victorious? Let’s jump in with some predictions and stats.

UFC Vegas 105: Pat Sabatini vs. Joanderson Brito stats

With a career record of 19 victories and 5 defeats, Pat Sabatini had an amazing start to his UFC career, however, he was caught off guard when he clashed against Diego Lopes at UFC 295. Sabatini suffered a brutal knockout defeat in the very first round, marking the second defeat of his UFC career. Despite the loss, the Marquez MMA fighter made a strong comeback against Jonathan Pearce, defeating him via rear-naked choke in the very first round. In comparison to Sabatini, Brito’s career is marked with a win against Diego Lopes.

Yes, you heard that right, the Brazilian fighter has clinched a victory against the featherweight title challenger back in their Dana White’s Contender Series days. ‘Tubarao’ defeated Lopes by way of unanimous decision back in the day, thus climbing the ladder to UFC. With a career record of 17 victories and 4 defeats, Joanderson Brito is riding a one-fight losing streak against William Gomis, and he is in desperate need of a victory.

Sabatini holds a slight mental advantage over Joanderson Brito due to his current winning streak. However, when it comes to reach and finishing ratio, the Brazilian surpasses Sabatini. The American has a reach of 70 inches and a finishing ratio of 73%, while Brito boasts a longer reach of 72 inches (183 cm) and an impressive finishing ratio of 88%. So, who might win this time? Let us have a look.

Sabatini vs. Joanderson Brito breakdown and prediction

Both Joanderson Brito and Pat Sabatini have equal chances of winning this fight. If we were to break down their fight, then we can see that Brito has explosive knockout power. As of 2025, the Brazilian has finished 88% of his opponents, securing 7 wins by knockout and 8 by submission. The Brazilian thrives in chaos and demands such fights from his opponents which will take him to the deep waters. If Brito connects his striking better then he has an upper hand to win the battle by way of knockout.

However, that won’t be easy for him, considering the fact that Sabatini knows very well how to check his opponent’s advances. While Brito is known for his amazing striking, Sabatini is known for his Jiu-Jitsu skills. He defeated 13 opponents out of his 19 victories. It must be said that out of his 13 submission victories, 8 came in the very first round. Sabatini is a dangerous opponent who replicates Charles Oliveira’s gameplay to take his opponents down.

It’s a pure striker vs. grappler showdown, where the first to impose their will could walk away victorious. The betting markets are viewing Sabatini as the clear winner but Brito shouldn’t be underestimated. It all comes down to one thing: who will catch whom first? Given that, what are your thoughts on UFC Vegas 105? Share your opinion in the comments below!