UFC Vegas 20- Alexander Hernandez vs Thiago Moises: Prediction and Fight Analysis

Published 02/26/2021, 12:13 AM EST
LAS VEGAS, NEVADA – OCTOBER 31: (R-L) Chris Gruetzemacher punches Alexander Hernandez in a lightweight bout during the UFC Fight Night event at UFC APEX on October 31, 2020 in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC)


Jairzinho Rozenstruik will face Ciryl Gane in a blockbuster heavyweight clash in the main event of UFC Vegas 20. The whole card consists of some really intriguing fights as fans await yet another weekend of UFC action. The preliminary card too has some great action considering it is only a Fight Night event.

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Alexander Hernandez will return this weekend against Thiago Moises in a lightweight clash. He last fought in October and earned a sensational first-round KO of Chris Gruetzemacher in that bout. He will look to build on that display in the featured prelims clash at the UFC Apex on Saturday.

Alexander Hernandez in numbers

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‘The Great’ Hernandez has only been beaten by Drew Dober and Donald Cerrone in the UFC. Despite that, his sensational debut against Beneil Dariush still remains fresh in the memory of UFC faithful. His last fight would have rekindled memories of that and shown him what he can do.

LAS VEGAS, NEVADA – OCTOBER 31: (R-L) Alexander Hernandez punches Chris Gruetzemacher in a lightweight bout during the UFC Fight Night event at UFC APEX on October 31, 2020 in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC)

He has landed 3.93 signature strikes per minute inside the Octagon and has absorbed 4.22 in return. He has a knockdown ratio of 0.61 with an average fight time of 8:08 minutes.

The Texas native, Hernandez, has a professional record of 12-3 and will look to make it 13 at the UFC Apex. However, his 57% takedown defense will be tested.

Thiago Moises in numbers

The 25-year-old Brazilian, Moises, holds a professional record of 14-4. He is a five-fight UFC veteran with his organizational record standing at 3-2. Beneil Dariush and Damir Ismagulov have bettered him so far in his UFC career. Out of his 3 wins, a submission over Michael Johnson stands out the most. He earned a decision against Bobby Green in his last fight in October.

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Moises is a submission expert with 6 submissions under his belt. However, he has won only once in the octagon by tapping out his opponent. In the UFC, the 25-year-old has a takedown average of 2.00 per 15 minutes and has a submission average of 2.50 per 15 minutes. He also holds a 63% striking accuracy, landing 74 of his 118 strikes.

One might see it as a classic striker vs grappler match-up. But, that is far from the case, as both fighters are very well equipped in every section of the game. However, Hernandez has lethal power in his hands and can knock anybody out, and that is what we feel will happen at UFC Vegas 20.

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Final Prediction: Alexander Hernandez by KO/TKO

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Apratim Banerjee

740 articles

Apratim Banerjee is an MMA author for EssentiallySports and has been writing professionally for almost a year. Before his current gig, Apratim worked as a UFC writer for Sportskeeda. A long-time MMA fan, Apratim has developed a critical eye for the sport that has helped him transfer his vast knowledge to his copies and give hardcore and casual readers a detailed insight into the fights and fighters.

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