Will Roger Federer Be Out of the Top 10 Before Mutua Madrid Open 2021?

Published 04/18/2021, 5:35 AM EDT
Roger Federer of Switzerland looks on during his Men’s Singles Semifinal match against Novak Djokovic of Serbia on day eleven of the 2020 Australian Open at Melbourne Park on January 30, 2020 in Melbourne, Australia. (Photo by Daniel Pockett/Getty Images)


It has been over a month since Roger Federer made his much-anticipated return to the ATP Tour. The Swiss maestro hadn’t touched his racquet in over 14 months as recovered from his knee surgeries in 2020.

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Given his long break, he has slowly slipped down the ATP Rankings. With Mutua Madrid Open 2021 being a flagship clay event in which Federer is slated to participate, he finds himself in the lower half of the top 10 rankings.

Roger Federer wearing a mask as he walks out before his first round match against Great Britain’s Dan Evans Tennis Federation/Samer Al-Rejjal/Handout via REUTERS

Federer had started 2021 in the top five, but since then fantastic performances from others and Federer losing points have sent him down to the World No.7 spot. Furthermore, Federer is set to drop to World No.8, after Andrey Rublev‘s heroics in the Monte Carlo Masters 2021.

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The Swiss has 5875 points, which is good enough for him to stay eighth in the rankings. Behind him are Diego Schwartzman in 9th, Matteo Berrettini in 10th and Roberto Bautista Agut in 11th. Schwartzman has 3720 points, 2155 points behind Roger.

Given the Madrid Open begins in two weeks, there aren’t many tournaments in that time period and thus Federer will keep his eighth place until Madrid Open.

Roger Federer of Switzerland looks on during his Men’s Singles Semifinal match against Novak Djokovic of Serbia on day eleven of the 2020 Australian Open at Melbourne Park on January 30, 2020 in Melbourne, Australia. (Photo by Hannah Peters/Getty Images)

How far is Roger Federer from going out of the top 10?

Federer is well clear of the chasing pack behind him. In the coming weeks, he doesn’t have a lot of points to defend. He is mainly defending 180 points from Madrid and Rome, respectively, whereas Schwartzman is defending 645 points from Rome and Madrid and Berrettini is defending 180 points.

So even if Schwartzman does the double of Madrid Open and Italian Open, he will not be able to cross Federer.

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As for Berrettini, he will have to pull off the Madrid Open and Italian Open heist, which will be incredibly tough in the stacked draw.

But Federer will reportedly play only one tournament before French Open 2021. Thus he won’t be adding a lot of points. So until the Grand Slam in Paris, eventually Schwartzman, Berrettini, and others might catch up with Federer.

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Bhavishya Mittal

1226 articles

Bhavishya Mittal is a tennis author for EssentiallySports, who is currently pursuing his Bachelor's degree in Journalism from Manipal University. A former sports editor for The Manipal Journal, Bhavishya has also worked for The New Indian Express. He has a keen eye for many sports but he is a particularly ardent follower of tennis, with a zest to create riveting articles on the ever-evolving sport.

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