The regular season is winding down in a couple of days, the playoff picture is set, and all eight contenders have secured their spots. But one storyline still refuses to settle—the neck-and-neck fight for the second seed between the Connecticut Sun and the Atlanta Dream. It’s been a rough season for the Sun, who saw much of their core leave, from coach Stephanie White to stars like Alyssa Thomas, DeWanna Bonner, and DiJonai Carrington. Rebuilding was always going to be the plan under new coach Rachid Meziane. The Dream, on the other hand, has thrived under first-year head coach Karl Smesko, who now holds the WNBA record for most wins by a first-year coach with 29 victories.

This game is huge for the Dream. A win could see them snatch the second seed—as long as the Aces slip up in their final game. Both teams enter the season finale with identical records, but the Aces currently hold the edge thanks to their head-to-head dominance, having won all three matchups against Atlanta this season. So everything could come down to the next matchup, a game that promises drama, intensity, and stakes higher than ever. Here’s everything you need to know before tip-off for this must-watch match!

Connecticut Sun vs Atlanta Dream: Where to watch

Date: Wednesday, September 10, 2025
Time: 7 p.m. ET
Venue: Mohegan Sun Arena, Uncasville, Connecticut
Watch on: Peachtree TV and NBCS-BOS
Streaming: Fubo, Paramount+, and ESPN+

Connecticut Sun vs Atlanta Dream: Injury Report

Connecticut Sun

• Leila Lacan – OUT
• Olivia Nelson-Ododa – OUT
• Bria Hartley – OUT

Atlanta Dream

• Taylor Thierry – OUT

Probable Starting Lineups

Connecticut Sun

• Aneesah Morrow
• Tina Charles
• Lindsay Allen
• Marina Mabrey
• Saniya Rivers

Atlanta Dream

• Brionna Jones
• Naz Hillmon
• Allisha Gray
• Jordin Canada
• Rhyne Howard

Prediction: Can the Atlanta Dream win their 30th game of the season?

Both teams are coming off their recent matchup, which saw the Dream cruise to an 87-62 victory, extending their unbeaten streak to five games. The Sun, meanwhile, has won just one of its last five outings. Heading into the Mohegan Sun Arena, the Dream clearly enters as the favorites.

Why wouldn’t they be favorites? With Allisha Gray and Rhyne Howard combining for over 35 points per game, and Brittney Griner and Brionna Jones hauling in 12 rebounds per game together, the Dream’s dominance this season is clear. They lead the league in rebounding and boast the second-best defensive rating. An ironclad defense paired with the explosiveness of Gray has been Karl Smesko’s recipe for success.

The game may be at the Sun’s home court, but home hasn’t been much of an advantage for them; they’re just 7-14 at home against Atlanta’s 16-6! The numbers don’t portray a pretty picture for them either. The Sun averaged 75.9 points per game, while the Dream put up 84.3. Defensively, it’s even bleaker. They allow 85.9 points per game, compared to the Dream holding opponents to just 76.9.

Naturally, ESPN gives the Dream a 79.6% chance of winning. Sure, anything can happen in this sport, but with the second seed on the line, it’s hard to see the Dream losing. Can the Sun pull off an upset? Or will the Dream notch their 30th win of the season? Let us know your thoughts in the comments below!