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Reuters

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Reuters

Despite a hard-fought victory in the Indian Wells Open‘s R32, Madison Keys expressed frustration, saying, “I don’t think I played my best level, and I think that was more frustrating just because I’m starting to expect a little bit more of myself.” With a 14-match winning streak, Keys now faces Donna Vekic in the R16. Vekic, fresh from a Top 10 win, seeks to upset the 2025 Australian Open champion and secure another Top 10 victory.

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Madison Keys vs Donna Vekic: Preview

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Madison Keys entered the Indian Wells tournament with a clear goal: to secure her third title of the season, having already claimed two(in Adelaid and Melbourne) earlier in the year. Her journey began smoothly with a straight-set victory over Anastasia Potapova in the R64. In the subsequent round, she encountered a fierce opponent in Elise Mertens. The match proved to be a grueling battle, lasting two hours and 48 minutes, before Keys ultimately prevailed with a 6-2, 6(8)-7, 6-4 victory.

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On the other hand, Donna Vekic has struggled a bit this season. However, she hasn’t yet dropped a set in this tournament. Vekic defeated Keys’ compatriot and No. 8, Emma Navarro, in the R32 by 7-6(5),6-1. 

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Keys vs Vekic: Head-to-Head

The Croatian has faced the American thrice in her career. Currently, Keys leads the H2H scoreline by 2-1.

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  • 2019 Toronto R64: Vekic 3-6,7-6(5),7-6(5).
  • 2018 Rome R32: Keys 7-6(2),7-6(0).
  • 2016 French Open R128: Keys 6-3,6-2.

Prediction: Keys will win this match by three sets

As things stand, Madison Keys seems to be the favorite to win this contest. Reason? Well, first and foremost, she has been in red-hot form this season. The world number 5 has already secured a win-loss record of 16-1 in 2025. Whereas, it’s just 5-7 for Donna Vekic (22).

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Talking about their playing styles, Donna Vekic is one of the best ball strikers in the women’s Tour. She loves playing a quick game where she can take advantage of flat shots. Vekic loves hitting it hard and flat across both wings. Her major strengths are her big first serve and strong forehand. However, her biggest weaknesses are her on-court movements and poor shot selection.

Just like Vekic, even Madison Keys is also known for her big first-serve and powerful forehand. She is an aggressive baseliner, and Keys is often seen heavily relying on her groundstrokes to win points. She loves dictating the rallies from the baseline, and Madison Keys also has a venomous serve in her armory. Other than that, the American is also known for playing a tactical style that fits her ability and allows her to be more opportunistic on the court.

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Keys game suits this surface, and we must not forget she reached the QF here in 2022. She will also get a lot of support from the home crowd in this match. So, keeping all these things in mind, I’m going for Keys in this epic battle. Should Keys emerge victorious, her impressive winning streak will continue, while Donna Vekic’s pursuit of a 1000-level quarterfinal appearance will remain unfulfilled. 

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Sayantan Roy

3,224 Articles

Sayantan Roy is a seasoned tennis journalist at EssentiallySports. A former competitive player, he brings a deep tactical understanding to his coverage, breaking down head-to-head records, match dynamics, and on-court strategies with precision. For more than two years, Sayantan has been a key member of the Live Events desk, delivering real-time insights and data-backed predictions for the platform’s Matchday Preview section. His analytical approach has sparked editorial debates and drawn recognition from respected tennis voices, including commentator and analyst Olly_Tennis. Combining his playing experience with a passion for insightful sports journalism, Sayantan’s work serves as a trusted reference point for tennis fans around the world.

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Deepanshi Bajaj

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