Belgian GP Weather Predictions: Models Find Consolidation as Rain Threat Looks Imminent During the F1 Race at Spa

Published 08/26/2021, 3:16 AM EDT
Formula One F1 – Emilia Romagna Grand Prix – Autodromo Enzo e Dino Ferrari, Imola, Italy – April 18, 2021 A picture of Ayrton Senna is seen in the stands during the race REUTERS/Jennifer Lorenzini


The weather has been one factor that has constantly remained distant from F1 this season. Most of the Grand Prix weekends including the ones in France, Austria, Styria, Monaco, and Silverstone had a wet race written all over it.

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But, the reality? A race held on an absolutely bone-dry track, with hardly any cloud cover. And of course, the on-track result too remained stale, with either a Red Bull or a Mercedes leading the way to the chequered flag.

Formula One F1 – Austrian Grand Prix – Red Bull Ring, Spielberg, Styria, Austria – July 2, 2021 Ferrari’s Charles Leclerc during practice REUTERS/Lisi Niesner

However, then arrived the race at Hungaroring. The track remained damp for just over a lap, but that was all that was needed to spice up the event. Big heads crashing out, leaving the mid-field teams with a huge opportunity to score big points for the team.

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And ultimately, it was Alpine’s Esteban Ocon, who ended up lifting the big trophy. So, 4 weeks have gone by, and a similar story is unfolding ahead of the Belgian Grand Prix. The weather is looking very interesting over the entire race weekend.

Wet F1 race at the Belgian GP?

Let’s keep the limelight on the main event on Sunday. Over the previous race weekends, there was hardly any consolidation amongst weather models for predicting the weather. However, the scenario is completely the opposite heading into Spa.

Almost all of the weather models are certain that it will be a wet race weekend in Belgium this weekend. And it isn’t the unpredictable thunderstorms kind of rain, rather intermittent showers from rain bands, which will play out according to the predictions.

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The trend seems simple. It is likely to start with drizzles in the morning hours, which will significantly up its intensity as Spa heads deeper into the day.

Weather models predict most of the rain to fall around the afternoon hours during the race. As of now, the chances of rain on Sunday are an impeccable 90%.

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Overall, both Imola and Hungary only showcased a damp-dry race. Hence, for the first time since the 2020 Turkish Grand Prix, are the F1 fans in for what could be an exciting full wet race around the exemplary Spa Francorchamps circuit?

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Rohit Kumar

1140 articles

Rohit Kumar is an F1 author at EssentiallySports. He has been an ardent follower of the racing series since 2007, with his love for the sport coinciding with his love for Kimi Raikkonen. He is also an ardent follower of Sebastian Vettel and Aston Martin Racing.

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