Japanese GP: What Is the Weather Forecast for Suzuka?

Published 04/02/2024, 2:49 PM EDT

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via Reuters

As we move a day closer to the Japanese Grand Prix, the anticipation is rising to see if Red Bull will dominate again. It was a breath of fresh air when Carlos Sainz drove the Ferrari to victory, and neither of the two Red Bull drivers were on the podium. While Red Bull’s performance has been spectacular, the Suzuka circuit will be where it will be decided.

In the race that can change the outcome of the constructors and drivers championship, if Max Verstappen does not win, he will lose his leading position to Charles Leclerc or even his teammate. So for this, he needs to stay focused, and the weather conditions should be just right. With that in mind, what can we expect at the Japanese Grand Prix? Will it be clear skies or a mild chance of rain?

Will it rain during the Japanese Grand Prix?


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The forecast for the Japanese Grand Prix weekend indicates a mix of cloudy skies and the possibility of light rain showers affecting the racing conditions. According to the Williams F1 website, on Friday, during the practice sessions (FP1 and FP2), the weather is expected to be cloudy with a gentle breeze, and there’s a slight chance of rain developing as the day progresses. Temperatures are anticipated to be around 14°C (57°F), with a minimal chance of precipitation of less than 5%.


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Moving into Saturday, overcast conditions are forecasted along with light winds, and there’s a higher chance of light rain showers during FP3 and Qualifying sessions. Temperatures are expected to rise slightly to around 16°C (60°F), with a 20% chance of precipitation.

On Sunday, race day, the weather forecast remains cloudy with a continued possibility of light rain showers. The highest temperature of the weekend is expected to reach around 18°C (64°F), with the chance of precipitation increasing to 30%. With this information, the predictions begin!

Who will bring home the trophy at the Japanese Grand Prix?

After underperforming in Melbourne, all eyes are on Red Bull to see if they can bounce back in Japan. Ferrari and McLaren are expected to challenge them, making Red Bull’s performance crucial for the rest of the season. If they do not win the race, they might lose their position to Ferrari, and with how close the points are, anything can happen.

via Reuters

The performance gap between Ferrari teammates Charles Leclerc and Carlos Sainz was significant in Australia, with Sainz outperforming Leclerc. The Japanese GP presents an opportunity for Leclerc to regain lost ground and match his teammate’s performance.


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Ferrari’s dominance in Melbourne was unexpected, but maintaining that level at Suzuka will be challenging. McLaren is expected to be competitive, while other teams will face the test of Suzuka’s abrasive track surface. If Red Bull does not have mishaps, they will be up against Max Verstappen, who will be coming in hot because of not being able to race in Melbourne.

The other teams have a lot of catching up to do with Williams, Sauber, and Alpine not scoring a single point so far. Even the midfield is quite divided, with Aston Martin and Mercedes in the mid 20’s on the scoreboard, while VCARB and Haas just managed to get a few points to get started.


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With that said, what do you think will happen at Suzuka? The weather predictions say mild rain, but there are chances for a dry race too. Who do you think will take the win in Japan? Let us know your thoughts in the comments below.


Written by:

Viren Mirpuri


One take at a time

Viren Mirpuri is an F1 Writer at EssentiallySports. With a Degree in Mass Media and a Specialization in Journalism, Viren is known for his speedy race day coverage outside of discussing the engine technicalities. Whether he's dissecting the latest technical innovations or unraveling the drama on and off the track, he ensures that his readers stay engaged and informed.
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