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Houston Astros “Dug Themselves a Hole”: Can They Trade Their Way Out? MLB Insider Breaks Down Deadline Dilemma

Published 05/04/2024, 2:36 PM EDT

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USA Today via Reuters

The Houston Astros’ 2024 season is shaping up to be their most challenging in recent memory. An abysmal start has left them well below .500, raising questions about their playoff chances and sparking whispers about potential trade-deadline shake-ups.

MLB insider Ken Rosenthal believes the Stars have the pieces to turn things around. While not expecting a miraculous surge, he notes their recent momentum and anticipates a boost when stars like Luis Garcia and Lance McCullers return from injury. Rosenthal stresses that Astros owner Jim Crane’s “win-now” mentality makes throwing in the towel highly unlikely. But the question still remains.

Can the Houston Astros trade their way out of this hole? They boast some intriguing prospects, but their farm system is hardly overflowing with top-tier talent. If Crane truly wants to contend, he may need to go full Steve Cohen and open up the checkbook, aggressively targeting impact players at the deadline.

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However, trading for top talent comes with a cost. Houston’s current core, beloved as it is, may take a hit. Stars like Justin Verlander, Alex Bregman, and Ryan Pressly, all nearing free agency, could be dangled as bait. Even younger studs like Kyle Tucker and Framber Valdez may not be safe if the Astros are desperate.

Historically, teams rarely recover from such disastrous starts. The Houston Astros defied those odds recently with their World Series run, but can they recapture that magic? Rosenthal acknowledges that the team is likely to improve but questions whether it will be enough to sustain their streak of ALCS appearances.

Trading away fan favorites for uncertain returns would be a risky gamble, a move that only a desperate, win-at-all-costs owner would seriously consider. As Crane weighs his options, one thing is certain: Houston’s front office faces one of its most difficult trade deadlines in franchise history.

At a Crossroads: Houston Astros face win-now pressure vs. long-term vision

The Astros have proven time and again that they’re never out of a fight. But this season, the stakes are higher than ever. Will they make bold moves to regain their place atop the AL West? Or will lingering mediocrity force the team to confront an uncomfortable rebuilding phase?

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The Houston Astros’ current predicament highlights the risks of relying too heavily on a core group of stars. Injuries and the natural aging process can take a toll, as evidenced by this season’s slow start. While acquiring new talent through trades might offer a short-term fix, it raises questions about the franchise’s long-term sustainability.

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This dilemma isn’t new for the Stars. “Virtually everyone within the sport believes the Astros will somehow recover… But at least enough to get within striking distance of a wild card, particularly as their pitching gets healthier,” Rosenthal writes. He acknowledges the challenge for Crane: “One day that could be a problem. The Athletic’s Keith Law ranks the Astros’ farm system 27th in the majors.”

The Houston Astros face a delicate balancing act: salvage the current season with calculated risks or begin a gradual retooling process that might sacrifice immediate success for future stability. The trade deadline will force them to show their hand, revealing their true intentions for both 2024 and beyond.

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Written by:

Shrabana Sengupta

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Shrabana Sengupta is an MLB writer at EssentiallySports. Shrabana shot to fame when she covered two prime MLB events: the 2023 World Series and the Free Agency that followed. During the 2023 World Series, Shrabana wrote her unfeigned perspectives on the Texas Rangers’ Corey Seager and his wife, the 27x World Series Champions’ heartbreaking season, and later covered Shohei Ohtani’s highly anticipated record-breaking contract in 2023-24.
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