Feb 21, 2026 | 5:55 AM EST

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The past two seasons have witnessed the electrifying rise of Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz, a rivalry that has captivated tennis and claimed nine of the last majors since Novak Djokovic’s 2023 US Open triumph.Yet Sinner’s shock Qatar Open defeat and Alcaraz’s hard-fought Australian Open semifinal raise a question: is the Sinner-Alcaraz era is now vulnerable? And if so, who is the challenger ready to disrupt their dominance?

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Jakub Mensik

Last year, Jakub Mensik achieved a moment he will never forget. He was only one year old when Novak Djokovic won his first Miami Open title. Years later, the young Czech stunned his idol to win the same event.

Mensik defeated Djokovic 7-6 (4), 7-6 (4) in a crisp and controlled match. The final lasted two hours and three minutes. It gave him his first ATP title and a Masters 1000 trophy.

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“The feelings will come a little bit later, but even now, I’m starting to realize that it was incredible, all week, all two weeks, actually,’’ he said. The win marked a major breakthrough. It showed his calm under pressure.

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However, his 2025 season did not end with the same consistency. He struggled to go deep in tournaments. His best results were quarterfinal runs at the China Open and the Madrid Open.

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Though, this year began with promise. Mensik won the ASB Classic and looked in good form. But an injury soon disrupted his progress.

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He was set to face Novak Djokovic again in the fourth round of the Australian Open. Unfortunately, he had to withdraw before the match. The setback slowed his momentum early in the season.

Still, Mensik found a big moment at the Qatar Open. He stunned world number two Jannik Sinner with an impressive performance. His victory ended Sinner’s campaign earlier than expected.

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Meanwhile, Mensik could not continue his heroics in Qatar. His run ended in the semi-finals. He lost to another rising contender, Arthur Fils, who is also pushing to break into the space between Sinner and Alcaraz. 

Arthur Fils

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Arthur Fils is another young player who could challenge the dominance of Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz. The 21-year-old Frenchman has the talent and ambition to rise quickly. But his recent journey has not been easy. A serious injury slowed his progress and kept him away from the Tour for months.

Fils’ troubles began during the 2025 clay season. At Roland Garros in May, he suffered a back stress fracture. The injury forced him to withdraw before the third round of his home Grand Slam. It was a painful setback at a crucial stage of his development.

The problem did not end there. Because of the injury, Fils had to miss the entire grass season. He returned briefly in early August at the Toronto Masters. There, he played two matches and managed one win.

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However, the comeback came too soon. His back was not ready for the physical demands of the Tour. The Frenchman had to step away again. Another long rehabilitation period followed before he could think about competing seriously.

He finally made his proper return at the ATP 250 event in Montpellier. The timing was important, as he needed matches to rebuild rhythm. Despite the long break, he showed promise. Fils reached the quarter-finals, a positive sign for his recovery.

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Before the injury, his career had strong momentum. He had climbed to a career-high No. 14 in the ATP Rankings. He also won ATP titles in Lyon (2023), Hamburg (2024), and Tokyo (2024). Those achievements strengthened his belief during recovery.

After nearly eight months away, many questions remained. Observers wondered how his body would respond. Match sharpness was another concern. In Montpellier, wins over Valentin Royer and Ugo Blanchet gave him confidence before Felix Auger-Aliassime ended his run.

He then competed in Rotterdam. There, he suffered a first-round loss to eventual champion Alex de Minaur. The result showed that consistency would take time. Still, simply competing again was an important step.

The Qatar Open has offered more encouragement. Doha is only his third tournament of the 2026 season. Considering his long absence, his performances have been promising. He reached the final and showed strong competitiveness.

These results suggest that Fils remains dangerous even below full fitness. His fighting spirit has been clear. Match by match, he is rebuilding confidence. If his body holds up, his level could rise quickly.

Another major boost has come off the court. Fils has hired former Wimbledon champion Goran Ivanišević as his new coach. Ivanišević previously worked with Novak Djokovic and Marin Cilic. His experience could help take the Frenchman to the next level.

Many players already recognize Fils’ potential. Alexander Zverev has openly backed him as a future contender. In 2024, the German said: “He undoubtedly has the game [to reach the Top 10].” He added, “He has incredible power, like very few players have. Maybe Sinner, Alcaraz, me when I play well. Otherwise I don’t see who else has such power.”

If Fils stays healthy through 2026, he could become a serious threat on the ATP Tour. His power and athleticism give him the tools to disrupt the emerging duopoly. 

Next, he faces top seed Carlos Alcaraz in the Qatar final. The Spaniard arrives in strong form after winning the Australian Open by defeating Novak Djokovic, the 38-year-old legend who still pushes the sport’s new generation.

⁠Novak Djokovic

Novak Djokovic continues to redefine sustained excellence as he nears 39. Last season, he reached four Grand Slam semi-finals. This year, he again made a deep run at the Australian Open. He still pushes the Sinner-Alcaraz duo to their limits.

At the Australian Open, Jannik Sinner suffered one of the most painful losses of his career. He fell to teh Serb in a thrilling five-set semi-final. After leading by two sets to one, the Italian could not close the match. The disappointment showed clearly in his post-match reflections.

Djokovic advanced to the final in Melbourne. However, for the first time, Novak Djokovic has lost an Australian Open final. That fact alone underlined how rare defeat is for him at Rod Laver Arena.

Yet despite loss to Carlos Alcaraz, the result felt in some ways like one of the Serbian legend’s most triumphant moments in his 11th Australian Open decider. He was chasing a historic 25th Grand Slam title. The 38-year-old faced the world No.1 at the peak of his powers.

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Djokovic bowed out in four sets. He became the oldest man in the Open Era to compete in an Australian Open final. Even in defeat, the occasion highlighted his longevity and competitive fire.

Now approaching 39, he continues to add to that total. He has reached his 38th Major final and still chases the Sinner-Alcaraz duo, while a German star, considered the best player without a Grand Slam, also lurks in the race to beat Sinner and Alcaraz.

Alexander Zverev

Apart from Novak at the top, Alexander Zverev remains a serious challenger to the Sinner-Alcaraz duopoly. The German star consistently threatens the elite. Yet he is still searching for his first Grand Slam title. That unfinished mission defines his career narrative.

Last season tested him in many ways. Zverev started 2025 strongly and reached the Australian Open final in January. However, he lost that final to Jannik Sinner. The defeat added another painful chapter to his Slam journey.

After Melbourne, his momentum slowed. He did not advance beyond the quarterfinals at any other major. He exited Wimbledon in the first round and fell in the third round at the US Open.

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Outside of his lone title in Munich, results were inconsistent. He reached only two more finals during the season. Several early exits at ATP Masters 1000 events also hurt his rhythm. The campaign felt uneven for a player of his caliber.

However, 2026 began with a different tone. At the Australian Open, he delivered a statement performance. In the semifinals, he pushed Carlos Alcaraz to the absolute limit. The contest became the longest Australian Open semifinal in history.

The world No.1 prevailed 6-4 7-6(5) 6-7(3) 6-7(4) 7-5. Zverev proved he could stand toe-to-toe with the very best.

Yet the match felt different for the German. He displayed resilience and emotional control under extreme pressure. Performances like this show he belongs in the conversation. If anyone can disrupt the Sinner-Alcaraz dominance, Zverev remains one of the strongest candidates.

With these contenders capable of shaking the Carlos Alcaraz duopoly, who do you think can truly break their dominance? Share your pick below.

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