Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimova: H2H, Losses, Stats Against Top 10, Predictions

If someone had told you a year ago that Aryna Sabalenka would be back in the US Open Final in 2025, you would have probably just agreed with the forecast. The World No. 1 has been one of the most dominant players on the circuit, who has already played 2 more Grand Slam Finals in 2025. On the flip side, had someone told you a month back that Sabalenka would be playing Amanda Anisimova for the US Open title, you might have been pleasantly caught off guard.

This has been an amazing response from the 24-year-old American since her 6-0, 6-0 humbling in the 2025 Wimbledon Final less than 2 months back. To be back in yet another Majors Final is the way you would want to rewrite the history books. But for Amanda Anisimova, the work is still not done. Because the challenge is formidable.

Aryna Sabalenka vs. Amanda Anisimova—it’s a showdown between power, form, and history, with both players bringing impressive credentials and distinct styles to this final, as we are seeing a matchup that goes years back.

So, before the two go head-to-head at the Arthur Ashe Stadium on September 6, let’s take a look at the comprehensive, structured analysis of the two competitors and what we can expect from this final.

Player overview

Career achievements

2025 Season form & match stats

 Opponent quality

• Aryna Sabalenka: Faces top-40 players regularly in Grand Slams and major events due to higher seeding and longer runs.
  
• Amanda Anisimova: Has recently faced tougher draws at Slams, including defeats of top-10 players like Sabalenka herself, Simona Halep, and Naomi Osaka.
  

Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimova: Head-to-Head comparison

• Recent H2H: Anisimova leads Sabalenka 6-3 in career meetings, including 3 wins out of 5 at majors. The first time they met was in 2019, with the American winning in straight sets in the Australian Open R32 clash (6-3, 6-2).
• In 2025, they are tied 1-1, with Anisimova taking the Wimbledon clash in 3 sets while Sabalenka won at Roland Garros in straight sets.
• On hard court, too, the 2025 US Open finalists are tied, with Anisimova winning in Toronto 2024, but Sabalenka got the bragging rights in the 2024 Australian Open.
  
• Surface Split: Anisimova has an edge over the Belarusian on all the courts in H2H. But Sabalenka’s forte is hard court.

Game style & strengths

Grand Slam & top 10 performances

Psychological and tactical edge

• Aryna Sabalenka: More consistent, tactically tough, and dominating when in rhythm, but historically sometimes momentarily falters in key matches versus Anisimova.
  
• Amanda Anisimova: The matchup edge, especially in Slams, reflects a unique ability to handle Sabalenka’s power, creating tactical uncertainty for the higher seed.
  

Final analysis & prediction

This final is a classic power vs. tactical finesse encounter. Sabalenka enters as the defending champion and world No. 1, with statistical supremacy in aces, break point conversion, and lower error count. Amanda Anisimova, however, brings a unique H2H advantage and especially the ability to open up the court against Sabalenka.

If Sabalenka controls her aggression and keeps errors low, she is favored. If Anisimova disrupts Sabalenka’s rhythm, especially by bringing her trademark return game against the defending champion, this can become a frustrating night for Sabalenka. Precision and mental calm are Anisimova’s friends.

Edge: Sabalenka (power, stats, momentum) vs. Anisimova (head-to-head, tactical composure, Grand Slam peak form, having reached 2 back-to-back finals).

Catch every key moment from the 2025 US Open as it happens.