There are just seven more weeks of the NFL regular season before we get to the playoffs. This season has flown by, and what’s made it so great is how competitive the league is. I have no idea who will come out of each conference. Every high seed has issues, so it’ll really come down to which team gets hot at the right time.

The playoff picture is beginning to take form. There are 10 teams in each conference that actually have a chance to make it to the postseason, so we’re going to look at the updated playoff picture after Week 11.

Playoff odds via NFL.com.

AFC Division Leaders

1. Denver Broncos (9-2)

The Denver Broncos stand atop of the AFC after a massive victory over the Kansas City Chiefs. They now have a two-game lead in the AFC West, which should be enough for them to secure the division, especially with how they’ve been playing lately. Their defense is amazing, and while their offense has delivered in clutch moments, they need to be more consistent early in games. It’s going to be hard to keep winning like this in the postseason, but if it works, it works.

With their two-game lead, the Broncos have a 76 percent chance to win the AFC West. Their only real threat is the Chargers, who are struggling right now, so I’d personally say it’s closer to 90 percent than 76.

Playoff Odds: 96 percent

2. New England Patriots (9-2)

The New England Patriots have the highest playoff odds of any team in the AFC. They are on an eight-game win streak after starting the season 1-2, and it just feels like nobody can touch them. Drake Maye is playing well and their defense has stepped up in big moments. They have had a fairly easy schedule, though, so Week 15 and 16 against Buffalo and Baltimore will tell us a lot about this team.

Despite being the 2-seed, the Patriots actually have a much higher chance of earning the first-round bye, which comes with the 1-seed, than Denver. The Athletic gives the Pats a 46 percent chance to take it, while Denver is down at 23 percent. They’ve also been given an 86 percent chance to win the AFC East.

Playoff Odds: 98 percent

3. Indianapolis Colts (8-2)

The Indianapolis Colts were on a bye this week and had to watch the Patriots and Broncos pass them up after both teams earned their ninth win of the season. They’re still the No. 3 seed in the AFC for now, and as long as they keep winning, they should be able to climb back up the ladder and potentially take that top spot away from Denver. They have to travel to Kansas City this week, though, so that’s easier said than done.

The Colts also have the third-best odds to earn the 1-seed in the AFC, sitting at 20 percent, behind both Denver and New England.

Playoff Odds: 90 percent

4. Pittsburgh Steelers (6-4)

The Pittsburgh Steelers are 6-4 and the No. 4 seed in the AFC, and yet they have a 39 percent chance to make the playoffs. That tells you how close Baltimore is in their rearview mirrors, and their concern about Aaron Rodgers‘ wrist injury. Whoever loses this division will still have a shot at a Wild Card, but the easiest path forward is certainly through winning the AFC North. The Athletic doesn’t love their chances to do that, though, giving them an 18 percent chance to win the North.

Playoff Odds: 39 percent

AFC Wild Cards

5. Buffalo Bills (7-3)

The Buffalo Bills have been a hard team to figure out in recent weeks. They knocked off Kansas City, lost to Miami and then beat Tampa Bay in the matter of three weeks. I think they’re going to be just fine, and could even challenge New England for the division if they can beat them in a few weeks. I put a lot of stock into who your quarterback is in the playoffs, and I think Josh Allen is the best quarterback in the conference, if not the entire league.

Despite being just a couple of games back and having the chance to beat New England in a few weeks, the Bills have just a 14 percent chance to win the AFC East, per the Athletic.

Playoff Odds: 93 percent

6. Los Angeles Chargers (7-4)

The Los Angeles Chargers took a big hit on Sunday, losing to the Jacksonville Jaguars by 29 points. They looked flat-out awful on both sides of the ball. All their injuries seemed to catch up to them on Sunday, so while they should still make the playoffs, a win this week could’ve made that a near certainty.

Playoff Odds: 60 percent

7. Jacksonville Jaguars (6-4)

Speaking of Jacksonville, they occupy the final Wild Card spot in the AFC after Week 11. I’ve been waiting for the Chiefs to catch up and dethrone them, but it’s looking more and more like that may not happen. The Jags play Arizona and Tennessee the next two weeks, while Kansas City has to host Indianapolis and go to Dallas over that same span. It feels like this final playoff spot will come down to Jacksonville, Kansas City and the loser of the AFC North. Can Jacksonville hang on? Right now, they have the upper hand.

Playoff Odds: 65 percent

AFC Bubble Teams

8. Houston Texans (5-5)

The Houston Texans are currently the first team out in the AFC after back-to-back wins. Davis Mills has kept them afloat while C.J. Stroud has been out, and now it will be up to the former No. 2 overall pick to lead them to the playoffs. They have the defense to do it, they just need their offense to figure things out.

Playoff Odds: 29 percent

9. Kansas City Chiefs

Who would’ve thought that Kansas City would be 5-5 through their first 10 games? And with a matchup against the Colts on the docket, it’s not crazy to think they could be 5-6 after Week 12. They’re still a very good team; they just aren’t winning the close ones that they’re accustomed to winning. They haven’t lost to a team under .500, either, which shows how hard their schedule has been. They have very little room for error from here on out.

Playoff Odds: 51 percent

10. Baltimore Ravens (5-5)

It’s strange to see the 10th team in a conference have a 77 percent shot to get in this late in the season, but they’re one game back in the AFC North, and with the way things have been trending, all signs point to Baltimore stealing the North from Pittsburgh. Even if the Steelers go on a run, Baltimore has a shot to sneak in as a Wild Card team, but winning the division is the most straightforward way to do it.

Playoff Odds: 77 percent

NFC Division Leaders

1. Philadelphia Eagles (8-2)

The Philadelphia Eagles hold onto the top spot in the NFC after a wild week that was filled with huge matchups. Their offense is struggling right now, but man, that defense is dangerous. They have the best playoff odds of any team in the league right now, basically at 100 percent. With a four-game division lead, all Philly needs to do is beat Dallas this weekend, and there’s pretty much no way for them to lose the division.

Playoff Odds: >99 percent

2. Los Angeles Rams (8-2)

The Los Angeles Rams are, in my opinion, the best team in the NFL right now. The Eagles hold a tiebreaker over them, but these two teams could trade the 1-seed for the rest of the season. I think they’re a lock for the 1- and 2-seeds, so it all comes down to who can finish the year hotter, and right now, I trust LA more than Philly, because they’re rolling on both sides of the ball.

With their win over Seattle, The Athletic gives the Rams a 76 percent chance to win the NFC West, which feels about right to me. They also have a 35 percent chance to secure the 1-seed.

Playoff Odds: 99 percent

3. Chicago Bears (7-3)

I still think the Chicago Bears are the most fraudulent team in the NFL, and NFL.com agrees, giving them a 58 percent chance to make the playoffs despite a 7-3 record. They’ve had way too many close calls, and eventually the ball has to bounce the other way. Plus, their schedule gets VERY tough down the stretch with games against Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, Green Bay (2x), San Francisco and Detroit still to come.

The Athletic agrees with me, giving Chicago a 13 percent chance to win their division.

Playoff Odds: 58 percent

4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-4)

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers should be running away with this division, but they’ve lost three of their last four, and the Carolina Panthers are (somehow) 6-5. I think Tampa is the much more talented team, they just need to find a way to win games again, or else they’ll be in real danger of letting the NFC South slip through their fingers. Despite that, The Athletic still gives them an 82 percent chance to win it.

Playoff Odds: 85 percent

NFC Wild Cards

5. Seattle Seahawks (7-3)

The Seattle Seahawks looked really bad on Sunday, and still lost to the Rams by just two points. They had a chance to win it with a long field goal, so if that’s what happens when they play their worst, that tells you how good this team really is. I am worried for Sam Darnold in the playoffs, but other than that, they could realistically win the NFC this year.

Despite being one game back in the West, the Athletic gives the Seahawks just a 16 percent chance to win the NFC West.

Playoff Odds: 90 percent

6. Green Bay Packers (6-3-1)

The Green Bay Packers got a much-needed win over the New York Giants on Sunday, but it wasn’t all that pretty. They still have a lot of issues to iron out, especially offensively. Jordan Love came through in the clutch, but don’t let that distract you from the fact that he did not play well for most of this game. They’re a playoff team, but I don’t see them making a deep run.

Of all the Wild Card teams, the Packers currently have the best odds to win their division at 37 percent.

Playoff Odds: 74 percent

7. San Francisco 49ers (6-4)

Holding onto the final spot in the NFC playoffs is the San Francisco 49ers. They just got Brock Purdy back this week, and he looked great, throwing for 200 yards and three touchdowns. I think they’re a very good team; they’ve just been brought down by injuries and being in the hardest division in football.

Playoff Odds: 86 percent

NFC Bubble Teams

8. Detroit Lions (6-4)

The Detroit Lions are right on the cusp of the NFC playoffs after another loss on Sunday. They’re a bit dysfunctional at the moment. Their offense has been inconsistent, which led to a play caller change, but they just got shut down by Philadelphia. When they’re hot, they’re one of the best teams in the conference. But they need to be more consistent.

Playoff Odds: 74 percent

9. Carolina Panthers (6-5)

Despite the fact that they’re 6-5, NFL.com gives the Panthers a 21 percent chance to make the playoffs. This team keeps finding ways to win, but it’s not usually all that pretty. By the end of the year, I wouldn’t be surprised if they’re three or four games out of the Wild Card spot.

Playoff Odds: 21 percent

10. Dallas Cowboys (4-5-1)

The Dallas Cowboys kept their slim playoff hopes alive with a win over the Raiders on Monday Night Football. Now they have to turn around and face Philly on a short week before hosting Kansas City on Thanksgiving. If they can somehow win those two games, they’ll be right back in the playoff hunt.

Playoff Odds: 7 percent

My Playoff Predictions

AFC

1. Denver Broncos (14-3)

2. New England Patriots (14-3)

3. Indianapolis Colts (13-4)

4. Baltimore Ravens (10-7)

5. Buffalo Bills (13-4)

6. Kansas City Chiefs (11-6)

7. Jacksonville Jaguars (10-7)

I have the Broncos taking the AFC crown and earning the first-round bye that comes with the 1-seed. They have a fairly light schedule the rest of the way, and the only loss I have them taking is to Kansas City in Arrowhead. I think their defense is great, and their offense always seems to come through in big moments.

I have the Patriots and Colts as the 2 and 3-seed in the AFC. Looking at their schedule, I don’t think New England has another surefire loss, but I think they’ll slip up at least one more time this year (I have them losing to Buffalo).

As for Indianapolis, I have them dropping road games to Kansas City and Seattle.

The Ravens edge out the Steelers for the AFC North crown. I have Baltimore beating Pittsburgh twice and finishing 10-7 to the Steelers’ 9-8. The end of the Steelers’ schedule it quite tough, so I think Baltimore takes it.

The Bills are an obvious Wild Card. I know they’ve been inconsistent, but I believe in Josh Allen, and I think he’ll win them a lot of big games down the stretch. Behind them, I have Kansas City. Maybe I was a bit ambitious putting them at 11-6, but I don’t see many more losses on their schedule, and I just don’t see Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid missing the playoffs, no matter how much everyone wants them to. Then there’s Jacksonville, who just hangs onto the 7-seed thanks to this week’s upset win over the Chargers.

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I have the Chargers (10-7) and Steelers (9-8) just missing out on the playoffs. I think the Chargers’ injuries are starting to catch up to them, and they don’t have an easy path forward. The Steelers have been struggling these past few weeks, and two losses to Baltimore certainly won’t help their playoff chances.

As of right now, my pick to win the AFC is the Broncos. I still have massive concerns about Bo Nix and their offense, but their defense will give them a shot to win every single game, and if they’re within one score in the fourth quarter, they’ve proven clutch enough to win those games more often than not.

NFC

1. Los Angeles Rams (15-2)

2. Philadelphia Eagles (14-3)

3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (12-5)

4. Detroit Lions (11-6)

5. Seattle Seahawks (13-4)

6. San Francisco 49ers (11-6)

7. Green Bay Packers (10-6-1)

I have the Rams finishing with the best record in the NFL and taking the 1-seed in the NFC. I think they’re playing the best football of anyone in the entire league, and outside of a couple tough games against Detroit and Seattle, their schedule isn’t too hard. I’m all in on LA this year.

I have the Eagles narrowly missing out on the 1-seed, finishing 14-3 because of a loss to Buffalo in Week 17. I just don’t think their offense can keep up with a high-powered offense like the Bills’. Then, I also have Tampa taking the NFC South at 12-5, which may be a bit surprising considering they’re 6-4 right now. Outside of their matchup against the Rams next week, the Buccaneers have an incredibly easy schedule. Maybe they lose another game outside of LA, but it’s hard to find a surefire loss for them elsewhere.

I have the Lions taking a very competitive NFC North. The Packers’ tie to Dallas early in the season hurts them here, but saves them from losing the final Wild Card spot to Chicago. As for the other Wild Cards, I don’t think it’s too hard to figure out who it’ll be. The Seahawks and 49ers are disadvantaged by being in the toughest division in football, but they’re miles ahead of other NFC Wild Card contenders in my eyes.

Just missing out on the playoffs are the Bears (9-8) and Cowboys (9-7-1). I’ve been a Bears hater for weeks now; I don’t think they’re nearly as good as their record says. As for Dallas, their defensive performance last night was very encouraging. Quinnen Williams and Logan Wilson made a difference, and if their offense can keep scoring, they’ll be in this race until the end.

If you couldn’t tell, my pick to win the NFC is the Rams. They have a top-five offense and defense, and I just don’t see anybody stopping them unless they get hurt. And in my Rams vs Broncos Super Bowl, of course, give me LA.